Premiershiphub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 41 | 33.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 10 | +5.1 | +2.0 | 1:0 vs Rangers (+2.5) | 1:2 vs St. Mirren (-1.5) |
2 | Celtic | 33 | 82 | 75.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.4 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Rangers (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Livingston (-2.2) |
3 | Ross County | 33 | 40 | 33.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 11 | +3.5 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Aberdeen (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Livingston (-1.5) |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 57 | 52.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 3 | +6.8 | -2.0 | 2:1 vs Celtic (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Dundee FC (-2.1) |
5 | Motherwell | 33 | 40 | 35.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 9 | +6.5 | -2.2 | 0:2 vs Aberdeen (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Ross County (-1.5) |
6 | Livingston | 33 | 38 | 36.2 | +1.8On expectation | 8 | -1.2 | +3.0 | 1:0 vs Celtic (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Motherwell (-1.7) |
7 | Rangers | 33 | 76 | 74.8 | +1.2On expectation | 2 | +0.4 | +0.7 | 1:0 vs Celtic (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Dundee Utd (-2.4) |
8 | St. Mirren | 33 | 36 | 37.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | -4.1 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Hibernian (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Dundee FC (-1.7) |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 30 | 37.6 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.9 | -2.7 | 2:1 vs Hearts (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Livingston (-1.8) |
10 | Dundee FC | 33 | 25 | 33.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.5 | -3.7 | 1:2 vs Hearts (+2.3) | 0:5 vs Ross County (-1.6) |
11 | Hibernian | 33 | 38 | 47.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.2 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs St Johnstone (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Dundee Utd (-2.0) |
12 | Aberdeen | 33 | 36 | 47.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.8 | -10.2 | 1:2 vs Livingston (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Motherwell (-2.1) |
