The season in numbers
Even the best blind strategy (ht over 1.5) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Tukums 2000 produced performances worth 6 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.2' on average.
Where the season is heading
straight-line pace · ~11 rounds leftAt their current points pace, RFS finish top with ~94 points, but the title race is open: Riga FC project within 1 points. The market's biggest argument is with Auda: their results pace says ~69 points, the pace of their market prices (xPTS) says ~58 — one of them gives in.
| # | Team | Pts now | Results pace | Market pace | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 65 | 94 | 85 | +9 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 64 | 92 | 85 | +7 |
| 3 | Auda | 46 | 69 | 58 | +11 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 50 | 45 | +5 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 49 | 56 | -7 |
| · · · | |||||
| 8 | Grobina | 21 | 29 | 36 | -7 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 28 | 37 | -9 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 14 | 20 | 25 | -5 |
Straight-line pace over each team's remaining scheduled fixtures — not a simulation. Market pace extrapolates xPTS (the points the market's prices expected so far) the same way. Split and playoff rounds count once they're scheduled.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/latvia/virsliga/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Virsliga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/latvia/virsliga">Virsliga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Virsliga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 65 | 58.8 | +6.2 | |
| 2 | Riga FC | 64 | 59.1 | +4.9 | |
| 3 | Auda | 46 | 38.8 | +7.2 | |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 32.4 | +3.6 | |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 38.8 | -4.8 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 8 | Grobina | 21 | 26.1 | -5.1 | |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 26.4 | -6.4 | |
| 10 | Ogre United | 14 | 17.4 | -3.4 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+