Virsligahub →Virsliga 2026 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auda | 36 | 73 | 59.6 | +13.4Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.4 | +9.0 | 0:1 vs RFS (+2.4) | 2:3 vs BFC Daugavpils (-2.0) |
2 | RFS | 35 | 89 | 82.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | -0.3 | +6.8 | 0:1 vs FK Liepaja (+1.0) | 0:1 vs Auda (-2.3) |
3 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 52 | 45.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.4 | -1.2 | 2:3 vs Auda (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Super Nova (-1.7) |
4 | Super Nova | 36 | 40 | 35.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 8 | -3.1 | +7.6 | 0:1 vs BFC Daugavpils (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ogre United (-2.0) |
5 | Riga FC | 35 | 83 | 82.4 | +0.6On expectation | 2 | +1.3 | -0.7 | 2:1 vs RFS (+1.5) | 3:2 vs FK Liepaja (-2.2) |
6 | Jelgava | 36 | 35 | 39.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 6 | -4.4 | 0.0 | 1:5 vs Super Nova (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Ogre United (-2.0) |
7 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 51 | 55.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 4 | +2.5 | -7.2 | 3:2 vs Riga FC (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Grobina (-1.9) |
8 | Ogre United | 36 | 19 | 26.4 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.6 | -4.7 | 0:2 vs Jelgava (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Super Nova (-1.2) |
9 | Grobina | 36 | 29 | 36.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.4 | -5.9 | 1:0 vs FK Liepaja (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Super Nova (-1.4) |
10 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 25 | 35.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 9 | +0.8 | -10.9 | 2:1 vs Auda (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Super Nova (-1.6) |