Virsligahub →Virsliga 2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Valmiera | 36 | 85 | 71.8 | +13.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.3 | +5.0 | 1:3 vs RFS (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Spartaks (-2.7) |
2 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 38 | 26.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 9 | +6.7 | +1.4 | 2:1 vs Auda (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Super Nova (-1.6) |
3 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 70 | 61.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | -0.2 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Valmiera (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.3) |
4 | Riga FC | 36 | 81 | 72.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.6 | -3.4 | 2:0 vs RFS (+1.7) | 0:1 vs FK Liepaja (-1.8) |
5 | RFS | 36 | 76 | 68.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | -6.7 | +5.0 | 0:1 vs Riga FC (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Super Nova (-2.6) |
6 | Grobina | 2 | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9On expectation | 11 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Metta (+-0.9) | 2:3 vs Metta (-1.0) |
7 | Super Nova | 36 | 20 | 22.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 10 | -4.0 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs RFS (+2.7) | 0:3 vs Metta (-1.5) |
8 | Auda | 36 | 51 | 53.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 5 | +0.2 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs BFC Daugavpils (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.3) |
9 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 34 | 36.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | +0.4 | -3.6 | 2:0 vs Spartaks (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Super Nova (-1.5) |
10 | Metta | 38 | 28 | 31.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 8 | -0.8 | -2.7 | 3:0 vs Auda (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Tukums 2000 (-1.6) |
11 | Spartaks | 36 | 31 | 35.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 7 | -6.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Valmiera (+2.8) | 2:3 vs Super Nova (-2.1) |