Virsligahub →Virsliga 2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Valmiera | 30 | 68 | 44.4 | +23.6Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.7 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs RFS (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Spartaks (-2.0) |
2 | RFS | 30 | 70 | 52.1 | +17.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.1 | +2.8 | 0:3 vs Riga FC (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Valmiera (-2.2) |
3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 57 | 42.9 | +14.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | -0.0 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs Riga FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Spartaks (-2.1) |
4 | Spartaks | 29 | 36 | 27.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.3 | -5.5 | 1:2 vs FK Liepaja (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Metta (-1.8) |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 38 | 30.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.1 | -0.4 | 3:0 vs Riga FC (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Noah (-2.2) |
6 | Riga FC | 30 | 56 | 48.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | -0.0 | -7.5 | 1:0 vs Valmiera (+1.4) | 3:0 vs BFC Daugavpils (-2.4) |
7 | Metta | 29 | 20 | 18.3 | +1.7On expectation | 7 | +0.2 | -4.5 | 2:0 vs Spartaks (+2.1) | 3:1 vs BFC Daugavpils (-1.1) |
8 | Noah | 30 | 4 | 3.3 | +0.7On expectation | 9 | -1.6 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs BFC Daugavpils (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Metta (-1.0) |
9 | Ventspils | 14 | 9 | 12.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 8 | -3.1 | -2.9 | 5:2 vs Metta (+1.3) | 0:1 vs BFC Daugavpils (-1.7) |