Virsligahub →Virsliga 2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | RFS | 36 | 90 | 84.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | -0.1 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Riga FC (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Auda (-2.2) |
2 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 42 | 36.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.0 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Valmiera (+2.3) | 3:0 vs Grobina (-1.6) |
3 | Metta | 36 | 36 | 32.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 8 | +1.3 | +2.7 | 1:5 vs FK Liepaja (+2.2) | 3:0 vs Grobina (-1.4) |
4 | Riga FC | 36 | 87 | 83.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 2 | +4.5 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs RFS (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.6) |
5 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 35 | 31.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 9 | +1.4 | +1.8 | 2:1 vs Riga FC (+2.7) | 1:2 vs Grobina (-1.5) |
6 | Alberts JDFS | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2On expectation | 11 | -1.2 | +2.4 | 2:3 vs Grobina (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Grobina (-1.2) |
7 | Grobina | 38 | 32 | 33.3 | -1.3On expectation | 7 | -1.3 | -0.0 | 0:1 vs Auda (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Alberts JDFS (-2.2) |
8 | Auda | 36 | 60 | 62.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 4 | -2.9 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs RFS (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Grobina (-2.5) |
9 | Valmiera | 36 | 64 | 67.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 3 | -5.1 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs RFS (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.5) |
10 | Jelgava | 36 | 25 | 29.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 10 | -1.2 | -3.7 | 0:1 vs Auda (+2.5) | 4:2 vs Grobina (-1.4) |
11 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 39 | 45.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -5.7 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Valmiera (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Grobina (-2.0) |