Virsligahub →Virsliga 2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jelgava | 36 | 40 | 33.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 8 | +6.7 | +0.3 | 3:5 vs Riga FC (+2.8) | 2:3 vs Metta (-1.3) |
2 | RFS | 36 | 89 | 83.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.3 | -1.4 | 0:3 vs FK Liepaja (+0.9) | 1:0 vs Valmiera (-2.1) |
3 | Riga FC | 36 | 88 | 85.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 1 | -0.3 | +0.1 | 0:3 vs FK Liepaja (+1.0) | 3:5 vs Jelgava (-2.7) |
4 | Auda | 36 | 58 | 55.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 4 | -1.4 | +4.0 | 1:2 vs Valmiera (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.2) |
5 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 35 | 32.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 9 | +4.4 | -2.3 | 0:3 vs Auda (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Metta (-1.5) |
6 | Skanste | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 11 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 6:1 vs Metta (+-0.4) | 1:2 vs Metta (-0.8) |
7 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 36 | 37.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | +3.6 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Valmiera (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Jelgava (-1.5) |
8 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 51 | 53.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 5 | -2.6 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Valmiera (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.1) |
9 | Metta | 38 | 39 | 42.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 6 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 4:1 vs Valmiera (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Super Nova (-2.2) |
10 | Super Nova | 36 | 14 | 21.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.8 | -3.3 | 1:0 vs Valmiera (+2.6) | 3:0 vs BFC Daugavpils (-1.2) |
11 | Valmiera | 36 | 53 | 61.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 3 | -1.8 | -6.9 | 1:0 vs Riga FC (+2.5) | 1:0 vs Super Nova (-2.4) |