Virsligahub →Virsliga 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 48 | 41.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | +9.2 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs Riga FC (+2.7) | 1:2 vs Tukums 2000 (-2.0) |
2 | RFS | 36 | 87 | 81.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.3 | +1.3 | 3:4 vs Riga FC (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Metta (-2.6) |
3 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 36 | 31.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 9 | +5.5 | -0.5 | 1:0 vs Auda (+2.2) | 3:2 vs Metta (-1.3) |
4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 61 | 56.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 4 | +2.3 | +2.1 | 2:1 vs RFS (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Super Nova (-2.4) |
5 | Metta | 36 | 31 | 28.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 10 | +2.9 | -0.4 | 1:0 vs RFS (+2.7) | 0:3 vs Tukums 2000 (-1.4) |
6 | Riga FC | 36 | 88 | 86.6 | +1.4On expectation | 1 | -4.7 | +6.2 | 0:1 vs RFS (+1.6) | 1:2 vs BFC Daugavpils (-2.6) |
7 | Alberts JDFS | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7On expectation | 11 | -0.9 | +0.2 | 0:0 vs Grobina (+0.2) | 0:1 vs Grobina (-0.9) |
8 | Grobina | 38 | 36 | 39.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 7 | +1.1 | -4.8 | 2:0 vs FK Liepaja (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Metta (-1.8) |
9 | Super Nova | 36 | 32 | 36.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 8 | -0.3 | -4.0 | 0:3 vs FK Liepaja (+2.6) | 2:1 vs Jelgava (-1.4) |
10 | Jelgava | 36 | 38 | 42.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 5 | +3.2 | -7.8 | 1:4 vs RFS (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Grobina (-1.9) |
11 | Auda | 36 | 45 | 62.0 | -17.0Underperforming −− | 3 | -5.4 | -11.6 | 3:0 vs FK Liepaja (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Metta (-2.4) |