Al Adalah – Al Anwar

Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 14:55 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.99	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.55	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.30	−7.1%
Betfair (net)	3.28	−7.7%
bet365	3.30	−7.1%

€15 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.39	2.27	2.16	2.05	0
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.99	3.55	3.28	3.30	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.02	3.61	3.47	3.10	0
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.63	2.08	2.04	1.96	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.60	1.93	1.85	1.76	53
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.16	3.27	3.04	—	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.86	1.44	1.40	—	0
Both teams to score · No	2.77	2.25	2.03	1.79	0
Both teams to score · Yes	1.56	1.80	1.82	1.79	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.