Division 1 · price tracker
The record since 2026-10-12: how often Betfair (net of 5% commission) or bet365 stood at least 3% above Pinnacle’s fair price for 3+ minutes in the last two hours, and what those prices were worth against Pinnacle’s close.
Matches tracked
8
Saudi-Arabia
Gaps flagged
3
3 settled
Mean value vs close
−10.5%
95% CI −14.9% to −6.1%
Flat-stake P/L
+0.54u
2 won of 3
By market
| Market | Matches with Betfair | Gaps / 100 | Median length | Median € | Mean value vs close | Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full time 1X2 | 7 | 14.3 | 13 min | €75 | −15.0% | 1 |
| Over/under 2.5 | 7 | 28.6 | 26.5 min | €61 | −8.3% | 2 |
| Over/under 3.5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Half time over/under 1.5 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
Paper record: every flagged gap, losses included
How it is scored| Date | Match | Market · outcome | Venue | Price taken | Pinnacle fair close | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Al Saqer – Al Jabalain | Full time 1X2 · Home | Betfair | 4.04 | 4.75 | −15.0% | lost · 1-3 |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Adalah – Al Anwar | Over/under 2.5 · Under | Betfair | 1.77 | 1.93 | −8.3% | won · 1-1 |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Adalah – Al Anwar | Over/under 2.5 · Under | Betfair | 1.77 | 1.93 | −8.3% | won · 1-1 |
A small sample says little: an interval that crosses zero means “not shown yet”.
Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.