Al Saqer – Al Jabalain

Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 15:15 UTC · full time 1-3 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.32	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.75	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.33	−8.9%
Betfair (net)	4.32	−9.0%

€32 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-73 min	13 min	+3.2%	€75	4.04	−15.0%	lost

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.09	2.00	1.94	—	0
Full time 1X2 · Draw	2.66	3.46	3.33	3.30	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.32	4.75	4.33	—	13
Over/under 2.5 · Over	4.63	2.19	2.10	1.98	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.28	1.84	1.77	1.73	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	5.06	3.38	3.00	—	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.25	1.42	1.40	—	0
Both teams to score · No	1.46	2.07	1.93	1.68	0
Both teams to score · Yes	3.19	1.93	1.90	1.96	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.