Al Adalah vs Al Anwar
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-12 · 16:55 CET
LWDWL
LDWWDThe score model makes an Al Anwar win the most likely outcome at 42%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 63%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Al Adalah 1.52 – 1.72 Al Anwar.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Adalah win | 33.3% | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | — | — |
| Al Anwar win | 41.8% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 65.0% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 47.7% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Al Adalah 42 / Al Anwar 26.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.