Al Bukiryah – Al Zulfi

Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 15:15 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.60	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.23	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.13	−4.6%
Betfair (net)	2.12	−5.0%

€17 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.60	2.23	2.12	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.05	3.20	3.14	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.48	4.17	3.85	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.04	2.37	2.23	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.49	1.73	1.67	1.62
Both teams to score · No	1.70	2.01	1.84	1.62
Both teams to score · Yes	2.42	1.99	1.95	2.05

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.