Primera RFEF - Group 2 · price tracker
The record since 2026-10-11: how often Betfair (net of 5% commission) or bet365 stood at least 3% above Pinnacle’s fair price for 3+ minutes in the last two hours, and what those prices were worth against Pinnacle’s close.
Matches tracked
5
Spain
Gaps flagged
3
3 settled
Mean value vs close
+4.1%
95% CI +2.1% to +6.2%
Flat-stake P/L
−3.00u
0 won of 3
By market
| Market | Matches with Betfair | Gaps / 100 | Median length | Median € | Mean value vs close | Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full time 1X2 | 5 | 60 | 9 min | €88 | +4.1% | 3 |
| Over/under 2.5 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Over/under 3.5 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Half time over/under 1.5 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 |
Paper record: every flagged gap, losses included
How it is scored| Date | Match | Market · outcome | Venue | Price taken | Pinnacle fair close | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Hercules – Sant Andreu | Full time 1X2 · Draw | Betfair | 3.14 | 2.96 | +5.9% | lost · 1-0 |
| 2026-10-12 | Hercules – Sant Andreu | Full time 1X2 · Draw | Betfair | 3.09 | 2.96 | +4.3% | lost · 1-0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Antequera – FC Cartagena SAD | Full time 1X2 · Away | Betfair | 3.80 | 3.72 | +2.3% | lost · 1-1 |
A small sample says little: an interval that crosses zero means “not shown yet”.
Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.