1. Lighub →1. Lig 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Igdir FK | 14 | 28 | 20.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.2 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Erokspor (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kayserispor (-1.3) |
2 | Kayserispor | 14 | 30 | 24.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.5 | +4.5 | 0:3 vs Erokspor (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.9) |
3 | Bursaspor | 14 | 32 | 26.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.5 | +5.5 | 1:2 vs Kayserispor (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Mardin 1969 (-2.0) |
4 | Batman Petrolspor | 14 | 24 | 19.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 10 | +5.4 | -1.2 | 3:2 vs Erokspor (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Manisa FK (-1.5) |
5 | Mardin 1969 | 14 | 25 | 21.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 6 | +1.9 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Bursaspor (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Kayserispor (-1.3) |
6 | Bodrumspor | 14 | 21 | 18.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 14 | -0.7 | +3.7 | 1:4 vs Sariyer (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Keciorengucu (-1.3) |
7 | Keciorengucu | 14 | 23 | 21.3 | +1.7On expectation | 5 | +0.6 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Karagumruk (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Bursaspor (-1.1) |
8 | Vanspor FK | 14 | 18 | 16.4 | +1.6On expectation | 18 | -0.1 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Pendikspor (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Umraniyespor (-1.5) |
9 | Muglaspor | 14 | 18 | 16.8 | +1.2On expectation | 16 | -0.9 | +2.1 | 3:4 vs Manisa FK (+1.7) | 0:5 vs Erokspor (-1.1) |
10 | Umraniyespor | 14 | 17 | 16.6 | +0.5On expectation | 17 | -1.8 | +2.3 | 2:1 vs Kayserispor (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Boluspor (-2.2) |
11 | Karagumruk | 14 | 19 | 19.5 | -0.5On expectation | 11 | -2.2 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Erokspor (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Pendikspor (-1.7) |
12 | Antalyaspor | 14 | 20 | 21.4 | -1.4On expectation | 4 | -5.5 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Bandirmaspor (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Bodrumspor (-1.8) |
13 | Boluspor | 14 | 7 | 9.1 | -2.0Underperforming | 20 | -4.1 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Vanspor FK (-1.0) |
14 | Sariyer | 14 | 17 | 20.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 8 | -2.2 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Antalyaspor (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Bodrumspor (-1.7) |
15 | Manisa FK | 14 | 13 | 17.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 15 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 2:1 vs Batman Petrolspor (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.7) |
16 | Erokspor | 14 | 18 | 22.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 3 | -3.0 | -1.2 | 0:5 vs Muglaspor (+1.4) | 0:2 vs Karagumruk (-1.7) |
17 | Pendikspor | 14 | 14 | 19.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -3.9 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Karagumruk (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.8) |
18 | Sivasspor | 14 | 13 | 18.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.4 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Antalyaspor (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Boluspor (-2.1) |
19 | Bandirmaspor | 14 | 14 | 20.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.3 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Vanspor FK (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.8) |
20 | Istanbulspor AS | 14 | 8 | 14.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 19 | -4.7 | -2.0 | 0:2 vs Pendikspor (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Vanspor FK (-1.6) |