1. Lighub →1. Lig 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 19 | 12.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +0.7 | +5.6 | 0:3 vs Erokspor (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Bursaspor (-1.4) |
2 | Igdir FK | 8 | 16 | 11.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 13 | +2.8 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Erokspor (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kayserispor (-1.3) |
3 | Bursaspor | 8 | 19 | 14.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 1 | +1.0 | +3.9 | 1:2 vs Kayserispor (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Karagumruk (-1.6) |
4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 16 | 12.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 9 | +2.5 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Sariyer (+1.6) | 4:0 vs Bodrumspor (-1.3) |
5 | Sariyer | 8 | 14 | 11.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 10 | +1.5 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Antalyaspor (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Batman Petrolspor (-1.3) |
6 | Karagumruk | 8 | 12 | 11.2 | +0.8On expectation | 11 | +1.8 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Erokspor (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Igdir FK (-1.3) |
7 | Muglaspor | 8 | 11 | 10.3 | +0.7On expectation | 15 | -0.3 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Sariyer (-0.8) |
8 | Keciorengucu | 8 | 13 | 13.1 | -0.1On expectation | 2 | +0.9 | -1.0 | 3:0 vs Sariyer (+1.4) | 4:3 vs Antalyaspor (-1.0) |
9 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 12 | 12.2 | -0.2On expectation | 8 | +0.4 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs Antalyaspor (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Kayserispor (-1.3) |
10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 12 | 12.6 | -0.6On expectation | 4 | -2.5 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Bandirmaspor (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Sariyer (-1.7) |
11 | Vanspor FK | 8 | 6 | 7.7 | -1.7On expectation | 19 | -0.1 | -1.5 | 3:2 vs Istanbulspor AS (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Batman Petrolspor (-1.0) |
12 | Bodrumspor | 8 | 8 | 9.9 | -1.9On expectation | 16 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 4:0 vs Batman Petrolspor (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Bursaspor (-1.0) |
13 | Manisa FK | 8 | 9 | 11.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 12 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 4:1 vs Vanspor FK (+1.1) | 0:1 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.7) |
14 | Pendikspor | 8 | 10 | 12.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | -0.5 | -1.7 | 2:3 vs Antalyaspor (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Sariyer (-1.3) |
15 | Bandirmaspor | 8 | 10 | 12.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 5 | -1.5 | -0.8 | 3:0 vs Istanbulspor AS (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.8) |
16 | Umraniyespor | 8 | 6 | 8.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 18 | -2.8 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Muglaspor (-1.3) |
17 | Sivasspor | 8 | 8 | 10.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 14 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Antalyaspor (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Batman Petrolspor (-1.2) |
18 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 5 | 8.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 17 | -1.6 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Manisa FK (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Vanspor FK (-1.6) |
19 | Boluspor | 8 | 1 | 4.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 20 | -1.5 | -2.3 | 1:1 vs Pendikspor (+0.4) | 0:3 vs Mardin 1969 (-0.7) |
20 | Erokspor | 8 | 5 | 12.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.7 | -1.6 | 2:2 vs Bursaspor (+0.1) | 0:2 vs Karagumruk (-1.7) |