1. Lig 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Giresunspor	34	70	55.9	+14.1Outperforming ++	5	+5.6	+8.5	0:2 vs Samsunspor (+2.0)	0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.8)
2	Altinordu	34	60	47.0	+12.9Outperforming ++	9	+5.2	+7.7	1:2 vs Istanbulspor AS (+2.1)	0:2 vs Bursaspor (-1.7)
3	Istanbulspor AS	34	64	56.2	+7.8Outperforming ++	4	+1.5	+6.3	0:3 vs Samsunspor (+2.0)	2:3 vs Umraniyespor (-2.0)
4	Samsunspor	34	70	63.9	+6.1Outperforming ++	2	+4.3	+1.9	0:1 vs Istanbulspor AS (+1.6)	0:3 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.7)
5	Adana Demirspor	34	70	64.1	+5.9Outperforming ++	1	+3.6	+2.3	0:2 vs Samsunspor (+1.9)	1:2 vs Bursaspor (-2.0)
6	Umraniyespor	34	51	46.6	+4.4Outperforming	10	-0.5	+5.0	2:3 vs Istanbulspor AS (+2.2)	0:2 vs Menemenspor (-2.0)
7	Keciorengucu	34	58	54.1	+3.9Outperforming	6	+2.1	+1.8	0:4 vs Altay (+1.9)	0:1 vs Tuzlaspor (-1.8)
8	Bursaspor	34	46	42.5	+3.5Outperforming	12	+1.5	+2.0	1:2 vs Adana Demirspor (+2.2)	1:2 vs Altinordu (-1.6)
9	Altay	34	63	61.2	+1.8On expectation	3	-0.4	+2.2	1:2 vs Giresunspor (+1.9)	2:0 vs Akhisarspor (-2.2)
10	Boluspor	34	42	43.4	-1.4On expectation	11	-10.1	+8.7	0:1 vs Altay (+2.2)	0:1 vs Akhisarspor (-1.7)
11	Tuzlaspor	34	47	49.2	-2.2Underperforming	7	-1.6	-0.6	0:1 vs Keciorengucu (+2.1)	0:3 vs Akhisarspor (-2.2)
12	Balikesirspor	34	35	37.3	-2.3Underperforming	15	-1.9	-0.4	1:3 vs Altay (+2.4)	0:3 vs Adanaspor AS (-1.5)
13	Adanaspor AS	34	34	38.7	-4.7Underperforming	14	-2.9	-1.8	1:2 vs Boluspor (+2.0)	1:2 vs Ankaraspor (-1.7)
14	Menemenspor	34	34	39.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	13	-4.1	-1.6	0:2 vs Umraniyespor (+2.2)	0:3 vs Boluspor (-1.4)
15	Ankaraspor	34	26	32.5	-6.5Underperforming −−	17	-0.2	-6.3	1:0 vs Keciorengucu (+2.0)	0:3 vs Altinordu (-1.5)
16	Bandirmaspor	34	42	48.6	-6.6Underperforming −−	8	+2.6	-9.2	0:6 vs Tuzlaspor (+2.1)	2:1 vs Eskisehirspor (-2.3)
17	Akhisarspor	34	30	37.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	16	+0.3	-7.3	0:3 vs Tuzlaspor (+2.4)	0:1 vs Ankaraspor (-1.7)
18	Eskisehirspor	34	11	21.8	-10.8Underperforming −−	18	-3.5	-7.2	2:1 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.5)	1:0 vs Ankaraspor (-1.3)