1. Lighub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 81 | 63.7 | +17.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.0 | +9.3 | 0:2 vs Erokspor (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Umraniyespor (-2.0) |
2 | Manisa FK | 38 | 55 | 47.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 15 | +8.3 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Vanspor FK (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Adana Demirspor (-2.7) |
3 | Erokspor | 39 | 74 | 68.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.1 | +5.8 | 0:3 vs Igdir FK (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Sariyer (-2.2) |
4 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 60 | 55.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 10 | +6.3 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Corum (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Serik Spor (-2.5) |
5 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 46 | 42.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 17 | +4.1 | -0.1 | 1:0 vs Bodrumspor (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Vanspor FK (-1.6) |
6 | Serik Spor | 38 | 39 | 35.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 18 | -1.2 | +4.7 | 0:3 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Manisa FK (-1.4) |
7 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 52 | 50.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 14 | -3.9 | +5.9 | 2:3 vs Corum (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Vanspor FK (-1.6) |
8 | Corum | 41 | 77 | 75.2 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | +4.7 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Amedspor (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Bandirmaspor (-2.2) |
9 | Keciorengucu | 39 | 60 | 58.3 | +1.8On expectation | 9 | +1.0 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Pendikspor (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Igdir FK (-1.5) |
10 | Pendikspor | 39 | 63 | 62.0 | +1.0On expectation | 7 | +1.6 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs Bandirmaspor (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Keciorengucu (-1.8) |
11 | Bodrumspor | 40 | 70 | 69.8 | +0.2On expectation | 3 | +4.1 | -3.1 | 2:3 vs Igdir FK (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Umraniyespor (-2.2) |
12 | Amedspor | 38 | 74 | 74.1 | -0.1On expectation | 2 | +6.5 | -6.6 | 0:2 vs Pendikspor (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Sakaryaspor (-1.8) |
13 | Sariyer | 38 | 52 | 53.0 | -1.0On expectation | 12 | +3.2 | -4.2 | 1:0 vs Erokspor (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Umraniyespor (-1.8) |
14 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 6 | 9.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 20 | -0.1 | -3.2 | 2:1 vs Manisa FK (+2.8) | 4:0 vs Hatayspor (-0.8) |
15 | Boluspor | 38 | 48 | 52.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 13 | +0.6 | -5.0 | 3:0 vs Bodrumspor (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-2.0) |
16 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 49 | 54.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.4 | -2.6 | 3:0 vs Amedspor (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Hatayspor (-2.2) |
17 | Sivasspor | 38 | 53 | 58.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.8 | -4.8 | 1:2 vs Bodrumspor (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Umraniyespor (-2.1) |
18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 34 | 43.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.0 | -7.4 | 2:1 vs Amedspor (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Serik Spor (-2.2) |
19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 14 | 25.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 19 | -3.2 | -7.8 | 3:1 vs Vanspor FK (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Keciorengucu (-1.7) |
20 | Igdir FK | 38 | 50 | 63.3 | -13.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -8.8 | -4.5 | 2:3 vs Erokspor (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Serik Spor (-2.2) |
