1. Lig

We simulate the remaining 1. Lig schedule 10,000 times a day. Kayserispor win the 2026-2027 title in 67% of them, projecting ~83 points; Bursaspor are next at 33%. At the other end, Boluspor finish in the bottom three in 83% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Kayserispor	19	83	75–91	67%	>99%	—
2	Bursaspor	19	79	70–87	33%	>99%	—
3	Batman Petrolspor	16	58	49–67	<1%	35%	<1%
4	Igdir FK	16	57	48–66	<1%	31%	<1%
5	Mardin 1969	12	57	48–65	<1%	30%	<1%
· · ·
18	Umraniyespor	6	39	31–48	—	<1%	43%
19	Vanspor FK	6	37	29–45	—	<1%	61%
20	Boluspor	1	33	24–41	—	<1%	83%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 300 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/turkey/1-lig/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="1. Lig live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/turkey/1-lig">1. Lig stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every 1. Lig match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.