The season in numbers
Blindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Erokspor produced performances worth 6 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 27.6' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Boluspor – Pendikspor2026-09-12 14:00Home win ✓37.0%vs 14.5%▲ +22.6%- Karagumruk – Manisa FK2026-09-13 17:00Home win54.0%vs 53.5%▲ +0.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boluspor– Pendikspor | 2026-09-12 | 14:00 | Home win ✓ | 37.0% | 14.5% | ▲ +22.6% | 6.91 | |
| 2 |  Karagumruk– Manisa FK | 2026-09-13 | 17:00 | Home win | 54.0% | 53.5% | ▲ +0.6% | 1.87 |
Where the season is heading
straight-line pace · ~32 rounds leftAt their current points pace, Batman Petrolspor finish top with ~101 points — 6 clear of the field. The market's biggest argument is with Batman Petrolspor: their results pace says ~101 points, the pace of their market prices (xPTS) says ~61 — one of them gives in.
| # | Team | Pts now | Results pace | Market pace | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 16 | 101 | 61 | +40 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 15 | 95 | 68 | +27 |
| 3 | Kayserispor | 13 | 82 | 58 | +24 |
| 4 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | 76 | 62 | +14 |
| 5 |  Igdir FK | 12 | 76 | 51 | +25 |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 |  Umraniyespor | 3 | 19 | 38 | -19 |
| 19 |  Istanbulspor AS | 2 | 13 | 44 | -32 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 0 | 0 | 23 | -23 |
Straight-line pace over each team's remaining scheduled fixtures — not a simulation. Market pace extrapolates xPTS (the points the market's prices expected so far) the same way. Split and playoff rounds count once they're scheduled.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/turkey/1-lig/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="1. Lig live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/turkey/1-lig">1. Lig stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every 1. Lig match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 16 | 9.7 | +6.3 | |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 15 | 10.8 | +4.2 | |
| 3 | Kayserispor | 13 | 9.2 | +3.8 | |
| 4 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | 9.8 | +2.2 | |
| 5 | Igdir FK | 12 | 8.0 | +4.0 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 3 | 6.0 | -3.0 | |
| 19 | Istanbulspor AS | 2 | 7.0 | -5.0 | |
| 20 | Boluspor | 0 | 3.7 | -3.7 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisIgdir FK12 pts
Keciorengucu11 pts
Sariyer10 pts
Bandirmaspor9 ptsMuglaspor9 ptsManisa FK8 ptsKaragumruk8 ptsPendikspor8 pts
Sivasspor6 ptsAntalyaspor6 pts
Vanspor FK5 pts
Bodrumspor4 pts
Erokspor4 ptsUmraniyespor3 ptsIstanbulspor AS2 ptsBoluspor0 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+