1. Lighub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Goztepe | 34 | 70 | 59.5 | +10.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.2 | +9.2 | 0:3 vs Eyupspor (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Corum (-1.7) |
2 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 60 | 50.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 8 | +5.3 | +3.9 | 2:0 vs Eyupspor (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Tuzlaspor (-1.8) |
3 | Boluspor | 34 | 53 | 45.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 11 | +4.5 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Umraniyespor (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Adanaspor AS (-1.9) |
4 | Eyupspor | 34 | 75 | 68.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.1 | +4.3 | 1:3 vs Sanliurfaspor (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Adanaspor AS (-2.2) |
5 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 47 | 42.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 14 | +7.4 | -2.7 | 0:2 vs Manisa FK (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Giresunspor (-1.6) |
6 | Corum | 34 | 56 | 52.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 6 | -0.9 | +4.6 | 0:1 vs Eyupspor (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Giresunspor (-2.2) |
7 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 51 | 48.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 9 | -0.2 | +3.0 | 1:0 vs Bodrumspor (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Tuzlaspor (-1.9) |
8 | Adanaspor AS | 34 | 39 | 36.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 16 | +1.5 | +0.8 | 2:3 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Altay (-1.9) |
9 | Tuzlaspor | 34 | 38 | 37.0 | +1.0On expectation | 15 | -2.2 | +3.2 | 0:2 vs Keciorengucu (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Erzurumspor (-1.5) |
10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 55 | 54.1 | +0.9On expectation | 5 | +0.4 | +0.5 | 2:1 vs Eyupspor (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sanliurfaspor (-2.0) |
11 | Bodrumspor | 34 | 57 | 57.8 | -0.8On expectation | 4 | +3.0 | -3.8 | 3:0 vs Goztepe (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Adanaspor AS (-2.2) |
12 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 43 | 46.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 10 | -1.2 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Corum (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Boluspor (-1.6) |
13 | Keciorengucu | 34 | 40 | 44.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 12 | -6.2 | +1.7 | 2:3 vs Corum (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Tuzlaspor (-2.0) |
14 | Sanliurfaspor | 34 | 38 | 42.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 13 | -8.0 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Eyupspor (-1.8) |
15 | Altay | 34 | 19 | 24.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 17 | +0.0 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs Adanaspor AS (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Umraniyespor (-1.3) |
16 | Bandirmaspor | 34 | 50 | 58.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 3 | -8.3 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Eyupspor (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sanliurfaspor (-2.3) |
17 | Giresunspor | 34 | 10 | 20.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -5.4 | -4.9 | 0:2 vs Corum (+2.4) | 4:2 vs Adanaspor AS (-1.1) |
18 | Manisa FK | 34 | 40 | 52.3 | -12.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.3 | -7.0 | 0:2 vs Kocaelispor (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Erzurumspor (-1.9) |
