1. Lighub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Genclerbirligi | 38 | 68 | 56.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.1 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Pendikspor (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Adanaspor AS (-2.1) |
2 | Boluspor | 38 | 61 | 50.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 14 | +7.5 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Igdir FK (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Genclerbirligi (-1.5) |
3 | Kocaelispor | 38 | 72 | 65.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.4 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Pendikspor (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Erokspor (-2.1) |
4 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 64 | 57.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 8 | +7.6 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Karagumruk (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Manisa FK (-1.7) |
5 | Karagumruk | 38 | 66 | 59.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.9 | +1.2 | 1:3 vs Erzurumspor (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Manisa FK (-2.0) |
6 | Erokspor | 38 | 52 | 46.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 17 | +2.8 | +2.5 | 0:2 vs Kocaelispor (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.6) |
7 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 64 | 59.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 6 | +0.4 | +4.5 | 1:2 vs Ankaragucu (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sanliurfaspor (-2.0) |
8 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 64 | 60.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 4 | +9.2 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs Amedspor (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Keciorengucu (-1.9) |
9 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 53 | 49.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 15 | +3.9 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Ankaragucu (+2.3) | 3:1 vs Sanliurfaspor (-1.7) |
10 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 51 | 49.1 | +1.9On expectation | 16 | -6.7 | +8.6 | 0:2 vs Istanbulspor AS (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.7) |
11 | Corum | 38 | 54 | 52.7 | +1.3On expectation | 11 | +3.8 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs Genclerbirligi (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Boluspor (-1.6) |
12 | Amedspor | 38 | 57 | 57.6 | -0.6On expectation | 7 | +0.3 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Bandirmaspor (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Erokspor (-1.9) |
13 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 51 | 52.0 | -1.0On expectation | 12 | +4.1 | -5.1 | 2:3 vs Keciorengucu (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Manisa FK (-1.7) |
14 | Igdir FK | 38 | 58 | 60.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 3 | -0.9 | -1.6 | 0:2 vs Pendikspor (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Boluspor (-1.9) |
15 | Sanliurfaspor | 38 | 40 | 42.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 18 | -0.0 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Erzurumspor (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Corum (-1.6) |
16 | Manisa FK | 38 | 48 | 50.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 13 | -5.3 | +2.8 | 0:2 vs Karagumruk (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Erokspor (-1.8) |
17 | Adanaspor AS | 38 | 30 | 35.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 19 | -3.1 | -2.4 | 0:2 vs Genclerbirligi (+2.4) | 1:4 vs Sanliurfaspor (-1.4) |
18 | Pendikspor | 38 | 48 | 54.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.8 | -3.6 | 2:4 vs Erzurumspor (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sanliurfaspor (-2.0) |
19 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 38 | 0 | 15.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -6.7 | -9.0 | 0:4 vs Adanaspor AS (+-0.1) | 2:1 vs Erokspor (-1.4) |
20 | Ankaragucu | 38 | 48 | 64.0 | -16.0Underperforming −− | 2 | -2.2 | -13.8 | 4:2 vs Kocaelispor (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-2.1) |
