1. Lighub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Umraniyespor | 36 | 70 | 57.3 | +12.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +8.2 | +4.5 | 0:3 vs Kocaelispor (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Altinordu (-2.1) |
2 | Denizlispor | 36 | 49 | 39.3 | +9.7Outperforming ++ | 17 | +5.9 | +3.8 | 3:4 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.6) | 2:4 vs Tuzlaspor (-1.5) |
3 | Ankaragucu | 36 | 70 | 61.5 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.1 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Erzurumspor (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Altinordu (-2.2) |
4 | Istanbulspor AS | 36 | 60 | 52.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +1.2 | +6.4 | 1:2 vs Eyupspor (+2.0) | 4:3 vs Denizlispor (-1.6) |
5 | Altinordu | 36 | 45 | 40.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 16 | +6.9 | -2.1 | 2:3 vs Ankaragucu (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Tuzlaspor (-1.4) |
6 | Bandirmaspor | 36 | 62 | 57.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 5 | +3.8 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Manisa FK (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Denizlispor (-2.5) |
7 | Tuzlaspor | 36 | 49 | 46.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 13 | +1.8 | +1.3 | 3:2 vs Eyupspor (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Balikesirspor (-2.2) |
8 | Erzurumspor | 36 | 58 | 56.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 7 | +4.8 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Eyupspor (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Menemenspor (-1.7) |
9 | Menemenspor | 36 | 38 | 36.1 | +1.9On expectation | 18 | +6.1 | -4.3 | 2:4 vs Samsunspor (+2.5) | 1:0 vs Bursaspor (-1.4) |
10 | Adanaspor AS | 36 | 45 | 43.1 | +1.9On expectation | 15 | +8.2 | -6.3 | 0:3 vs Manisa FK (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Keciorengucu (-1.6) |
11 | Keciorengucu | 36 | 48 | 48.0 | +0.0On expectation | 12 | +6.1 | -6.0 | 0:2 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Denizlispor (-1.8) |
12 | Boluspor | 36 | 50 | 50.4 | -0.4On expectation | 10 | -1.3 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Eyupspor (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Tuzlaspor (-1.7) |
13 | Genclerbirligi | 36 | 48 | 49.3 | -1.3On expectation | 11 | +1.5 | -2.7 | 1:2 vs Bandirmaspor (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Adanaspor AS (-1.8) |
14 | Kocaelispor | 36 | 44 | 45.3 | -1.3On expectation | 14 | +6.6 | -7.9 | 1:0 vs Samsunspor (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Menemenspor (-2.0) |
15 | Eyupspor | 36 | 57 | 58.5 | -1.5On expectation | 3 | -0.4 | -1.1 | 2:4 vs Genclerbirligi (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Tuzlaspor (-2.3) |
16 | Bursaspor | 36 | 44 | 52.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 9 | +2.5 | -10.6 | 4:1 vs Samsunspor (+2.0) | 4:2 vs Bandirmaspor (-1.9) |
17 | Manisa FK | 36 | 49 | 58.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.5 | -7.5 | 2:1 vs Umraniyespor (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Menemenspor (-2.1) |
18 | Samsunspor | 36 | 51 | 61.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 1 | -1.8 | -8.9 | 1:2 vs Erzurumspor (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Menemenspor (-2.3) |
19 | Balikesirspor | 36 | 12 | 24.1 | -12.1Underperforming −− | 19 | -6.4 | -5.7 | 0:2 vs Tuzlaspor (+2.4) | 3:4 vs Altinordu (-1.2) |
