League Onehub →League One 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hamilton | 7 | 19 | 12.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.0 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs East Kilbride (+1.5) | 0:0 vs East Fife (-0.7) |
2 | Montrose | 8 | 15 | 10.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 6 | +3.5 | +1.5 | 3:0 vs East Kilbride (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Alloa (-1.3) |
3 | Ross County | 7 | 19 | 14.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 1 | +2.5 | +2.1 | 1:3 vs Airdrieonians (+1.1) | 2:2 vs East Fife (-1.0) |
4 | East Kilbride | 8 | 13 | 12.7 | +0.3On expectation | 2 | +1.8 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Alloa (+1.5) | 3:0 vs Montrose (-1.9) |
5 | East Fife | 8 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2On expectation | 8 | +0.4 | -1.6 | 2:0 vs Cove Rangers (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Montrose (-1.4) |
6 | Alloa | 8 | 9 | 10.8 | -1.8On expectation | 5 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Queen of South (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Airdrieonians (-1.2) |
7 | Airdrieonians | 8 | 9 | 11.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 4 | -0.5 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Alloa (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Queen of South (-1.6) |
8 | Cove Rangers | 8 | 5 | 7.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 10 | +0.7 | -3.7 | 3:0 vs Peterhead (+1.6) | 2:0 vs East Fife (-1.2) |
9 | Peterhead | 8 | 7 | 10.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 7 | -2.3 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Queen of South (+1.5) | 0:3 vs Montrose (-1.5) |
10 | Queen of South | 8 | 4 | 8.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 9 | -1.2 | -2.9 | 2:1 vs Airdrieonians (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Alloa (-1.4) |