League One 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Airdrieonians | 18 | 29 | 24.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 5 | +2.8 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Falkirk (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Dumbarton (-1.8) |
2 | East Fife | 18 | 27 | 24.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 6 | +8.2 | -5.3 | 2:1 vs Falkirk (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Dumbarton (-1.6) |
3 | Peterhead | 18 | 23 | 20.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 8 | +1.8 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Partick Thistle (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.8) |
4 | Montrose | 18 | 27 | 25.9 | +1.1On expectation | 4 | +0.7 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Cove Rangers (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Clyde (-1.5) |
5 | Partick Thistle | 18 | 33 | 32.0 | +1.0On expectation | 3 | -1.5 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Montrose (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Peterhead (-2.2) |
6 | Dumbarton | 18 | 19 | 18.5 | +0.5On expectation | 9 | -0.0 | +0.5 | 1:0 vs Cove Rangers (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Forfar Athletic (-1.8) |
7 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 31 | 32.3 | -1.3On expectation | 2 | +3.5 | -4.8 | 2:0 vs Falkirk (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Clyde (-2.0) |
8 | Clyde | 18 | 20 | 21.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | -1.8 | +0.4 | 2:3 vs Cove Rangers (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Peterhead (-1.9) |
9 | Falkirk | 18 | 31 | 34.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 1 | -0.1 | -3.2 | 1:0 vs Cove Rangers (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Airdrieonians (-2.2) |
10 | Forfar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 14.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 10 | -6.5 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Dumbarton (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Clyde (-1.1) |
