League One 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Airdrieonians | 36 | 72 | 55.1 | +16.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +9.3 | +7.7 | 0:3 vs Falkirk (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Montrose (-1.5) |
2 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 79 | 67.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.1 | +3.5 | 0:2 vs Airdrieonians (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Clyde (-2.0) |
3 | Clyde | 36 | 39 | 35.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 10 | +3.6 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Falkirk (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Dumbarton (-1.7) |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 59 | 55.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 4 | -3.0 | +6.8 | 0:1 vs Falkirk (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Dumbarton (-2.0) |
5 | Alloa | 36 | 45 | 45.8 | -0.8On expectation | 6 | -3.1 | +2.4 | 3:4 vs Queen's Park (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Clyde (-1.9) |
6 | Peterhead | 36 | 42 | 44.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 7 | +3.2 | -5.9 | 2:1 vs Queen's Park (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Alloa (-1.5) |
7 | Dumbarton | 36 | 34 | 37.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 9 | -6.6 | +2.9 | 1:2 vs Falkirk (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Alloa (-1.4) |
8 | Queen's Park | 36 | 51 | 59.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 2 | -0.7 | -7.6 | 0:1 vs Falkirk (+1.8) | 3:4 vs Alloa (-2.1) |
9 | Falkirk | 36 | 44 | 55.5 | -11.5Underperforming −− | 3 | -11.8 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs Alloa (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Dumbarton (-2.0) |
10 | East Fife | 36 | 23 | 38.4 | -15.4Underperforming −− | 8 | -4.5 | -10.9 | 4:2 vs Cove Rangers (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Clyde (-1.4) |
