League Onehub →League One 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stenhousemuir | 38 | 71 | 55.3 | +15.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +9.6 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Inverness (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Cove Rangers (-1.7) |
2 | Hamilton | 40 | 65 | 57.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.5 | +1.2 | 2:3 vs Peterhead (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Queen of South (-2.0) |
3 | Alloa | 39 | 59 | 55.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 4 | +2.3 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Airdrieonians (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Peterhead (-1.8) |
4 | Clyde | 4 | 5 | 4.9 | +0.1On expectation | 11 | +1.3 | -1.3 | 2:0 vs Spartans (+1.7) | 4:3 vs Hamilton (-1.2) |
5 | Montrose | 36 | 42 | 42.5 | -0.5On expectation | 9 | +2.4 | -2.9 | 2:1 vs Inverness (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Kelty Hearts (-1.8) |
6 | Inverness | 36 | 74 | 74.5 | -0.6On expectation | 1 | +3.1 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Queen of South (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Stenhousemuir (-2.1) |
7 | Queen of South | 37 | 55 | 56.5 | -1.5On expectation | 3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Hamilton (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Peterhead (-1.8) |
8 | Spartans | 2 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 13 | -0.7 | -1.4 | 1:1 vs Clyde (+-0.7) | 2:0 vs Clyde (-1.4) |
9 | Forfar Athletic | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 14 | -1.2 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Hamilton (+-0.9) | 1:3 vs Hamilton (-1.2) |
10 | Peterhead | 36 | 43 | 45.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 7 | -1.1 | -1.6 | 0:2 vs Queen of South (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Hamilton (-1.9) |
11 | Airdrieonians | 2 | 0 | 3.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 12 | -1.8 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Alloa (+-1.5) | 1:2 vs Alloa (-1.8) |
12 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 29 | 33.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | -8.9 | +4.9 | 0:2 vs Cove Rangers (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Montrose (-1.3) |
13 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 38 | 45.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.0 | -1.7 | 2:1 vs Hamilton (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Kelty Hearts (-2.1) |
14 | East Fife | 36 | 36 | 44.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 8 | -2.4 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs Hamilton (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Kelty Hearts (-1.9) |