League Onehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dunfermline | 36 | 81 | 66.2 | +14.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.3 | +12.5 | 0:1 vs Falkirk (+1.8) | 2:2 vs Peterhead (-1.5) |
2 | Edinburgh City | 36 | 51 | 42.3 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.4 | +8.4 | 0:6 vs Airdrieonians (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Peterhead (-1.9) |
3 | Alloa | 36 | 57 | 50.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.7 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Queen of South (+1.8) | 2:4 vs Edinburgh City (-2.0) |
4 | Falkirk | 36 | 67 | 62.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 2 | +1.4 | +3.0 | 1:3 vs Queen of South (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Edinburgh City (-2.2) |
5 | Airdrieonians | 36 | 60 | 59.3 | +0.7On expectation | 3 | +0.5 | +0.1 | 2:4 vs Montrose (+1.8) | 0:6 vs Edinburgh City (-2.2) |
6 | Queen of South | 36 | 54 | 53.6 | +0.4On expectation | 4 | -0.3 | +0.7 | 1:3 vs Airdrieonians (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Clyde (-2.0) |
7 | Montrose | 36 | 48 | 52.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 5 | +0.4 | -5.1 | 2:3 vs Queen of South (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Edinburgh City (-1.9) |
8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 40 | 46.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.1 | -5.2 | 2:3 vs Falkirk (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Edinburgh City (-1.9) |
9 | Peterhead | 36 | 16 | 26.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.1 | -8.4 | 1:0 vs Edinburgh City (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Queen of South (-1.0) |
10 | Clyde | 36 | 24 | 35.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -1.5 | -10.3 | 1:4 vs Queen of South (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Edinburgh City (-1.4) |
