League Onehub →League One 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Falkirk | 36 | 90 | 81.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.9 | +5.0 | 1:3 vs Hamilton (+1.6) | 2:2 vs Edinburgh City (-1.8) |
2 | Alloa | 36 | 56 | 47.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.1 | +5.4 | 1:2 vs Hamilton (+2.4) | 3:0 vs Edinburgh City (-1.8) |
3 | Montrose | 36 | 53 | 45.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 7 | -0.5 | +7.8 | 2:3 vs Queen of South (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Edinburgh City (-2.3) |
4 | Hamilton | 36 | 74 | 70.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 2 | -3.7 | +7.2 | 0:2 vs Kelty Hearts (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Annan (-2.5) |
5 | Annan | 36 | 39 | 40.1 | -1.1On expectation | 9 | +2.4 | -3.5 | 2:3 vs Hamilton (+2.6) | 3:2 vs Edinburgh City (-1.7) |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 44 | 45.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | -1.3 | -0.4 | 2:1 vs Alloa (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Montrose (-1.6) |
7 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 49 | 54.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 3 | -2.8 | -2.5 | 1:0 vs Hamilton (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Alloa (-1.9) |
8 | Edinburgh City | 36 | 14 | 19.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.6 | -6.2 | 1:0 vs Montrose (+2.5) | 1:5 vs Montrose (-1.2) |
9 | Stirling | 36 | 39 | 46.1 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.6 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs Queen of South (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Montrose (-1.6) |
10 | Queen of South | 36 | 41 | 49.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -9.5 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Cove Rangers (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Montrose (-1.9) |