Fastest starters
Peterhead21%
10 of their 48 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Kelty Hearts33%
11 of their 33 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Inverness are 2025-2026 champions — 74 pts
Their xPTS said 74.5: delivered even more than the market priced.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
Least bad strategy
-5.6uEven the best blind strategy (under 2.5 goals) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Most underrated by results
-8.2 ptsEast Fife produced performances worth 8 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
33%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.6' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every League One match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 74 | 74.5 | -0.5 | champions — market expected more |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 71 | 55.3 | +15.7 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Hamilton | 65 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
