League Onehub →League One 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arbroath | 36 | 64 | 56.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.7 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Inverness (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Alloa (-1.7) |
2 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 57 | 51.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | -1.3 | +6.8 | 1:4 vs Inverness (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Stenhousemuir (-1.6) |
3 | Stenhousemuir | 36 | 53 | 48.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 6 | +3.6 | +0.5 | 1:3 vs Dumbarton (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Alloa (-1.7) |
4 | Queen of South | 36 | 55 | 51.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 3 | +12.5 | -9.3 | 3:2 vs Inverness (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Kelty Hearts (-1.9) |
5 | Alloa | 36 | 51 | 50.1 | +0.9On expectation | 5 | -2.8 | +3.7 | 1:4 vs Stenhousemuir (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Kelty Hearts (-1.9) |
6 | Inverness | 36 | 58 | 58.3 | -0.3On expectation | 1 | -4.3 | +4.0 | 0:3 vs Cove Rangers (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Annan (-2.0) |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 44 | 44.4 | -0.4On expectation | 8 | -2.9 | +2.4 | 0:2 vs Inverness (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Annan (-1.8) |
8 | Montrose | 36 | 40 | 45.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -6.1 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Alloa (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Dumbarton (-1.6) |
9 | Annan | 36 | 36 | 42.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 0:1 vs Inverness (+2.3) | 3:1 vs Dumbarton (-1.6) |
10 | Dumbarton | 36 | 35 | 43.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.3 | -1.0 | 2:3 vs Alloa (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Stenhousemuir (-1.8) |