Saudi Professional Leaguehub →Saudi Professional League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 17 | 11.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.3 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs Al Qadsiah (+2.4) | 1:1 vs Al Kholood (-1.0) |
2 | Neom SC | 7 | 15 | 10.3 | +4.8Outperforming | 7 | +2.5 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Al Hilal (+2.7) | 1:0 vs Al Riyadh (-1.8) |
3 | Al Kholood | 7 | 12 | 8.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 10 | +5.8 | -2.0 | 3:1 vs Al Ahli SC (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Al Riyadh (-1.8) |
4 | Al Ettifaq | 7 | 11 | 7.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 11 | -0.7 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Al Fateh (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Al Diriyah (-1.1) |
5 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 8 | 6.2 | +1.8On expectation | 16 | +3.6 | -1.9 | 2:0 vs Al Kholood (+2.1) | 4:2 vs Al Ettifaq (-1.4) |
6 | Al Hilal | 7 | 18 | 16.5 | +1.5On expectation | 2 | -1.1 | +2.6 | 3:0 vs Al Ahli SC (+1.0) | 0:2 vs Neom SC (-2.5) |
7 | Al Hazem | 7 | 8 | 7.0 | +1.0On expectation | 14 | +0.8 | +0.2 | 1:0 vs Al Taawon (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Al Diriyah (-1.0) |
8 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 16 | 15.0 | +1.0On expectation | 3 | -1.8 | +2.8 | 3:2 vs Al Ahli SC (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Al Ittihad (-2.2) |
9 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 11 | 10.8 | +0.2On expectation | 6 | -3.6 | +3.9 | 0:3 vs Al Ettifaq (+1.4) | 0:0 vs Abha (-1.2) |
10 | Al Fayha | 7 | 6 | 6.1 | -0.1On expectation | 18 | +1.1 | -1.2 | 3:2 vs Abha (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Neom SC (-0.8) |
11 | Al Nassr | 7 | 16 | 16.7 | -0.7On expectation | 1 | +1.5 | -2.2 | 2:1 vs Al Taawon (+0.6) | 2:1 vs Al Ittihad (-2.1) |
12 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 12 | 13.2 | -1.2On expectation | 4 | +1.6 | -2.7 | 0:1 vs Al Diriyah (+1.0) | 3:1 vs Al Kholood (-2.0) |
13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 5 | 7.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 12 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 1:1 vs Al Nassr (+0.5) | 3:0 vs Neom SC (-0.8) |
14 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 3 | 6.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 17 | -2.5 | -0.7 | 0:0 vs Al Ettifaq (+0.0) | 0:2 vs Neom SC (-1.0) |
15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 13 | -2.5 | -1.6 | 0:0 vs Al Taawon (+0.1) | 0:1 vs Al Ettifaq (-1.5) |
16 | Abha | 7 | 2 | 6.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 15 | -3.0 | -1.6 | 0:0 vs Al Diriyah (+0.4) | 3:2 vs Al Fayha (-1.3) |
17 | Al Shabab | 7 | 4 | 10.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.2 | -2.9 | 0:0 vs Al Khaleej (+-0.4) | 2:1 vs Al Kholood (-1.6) |
18 | Al Taawon | 7 | 3 | 9.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.8 | -3.5 | 2:1 vs Al Nassr (+-0.5) | 1:0 vs Al Hazem (-1.5) |