Saudi Professional Leaguehub →Saudi Professional League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ittihad | 12 | 27 | 19.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.4 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Al Qadsiah (+2.4) | 1:1 vs Abha (-1.2) |
2 | Neom SC | 13 | 25 | 19.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.8 | +3.6 | 0:2 vs Al Hilal (+2.7) | 1:0 vs Al Riyadh (-1.8) |
3 | Al Hilal | 12 | 33 | 28.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 1 | +0.7 | +4.0 | 2:3 vs Al Qadsiah (+1.4) | 0:2 vs Neom SC (-2.5) |
4 | Al Ettifaq | 13 | 20 | 15.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 9 | -3.0 | +7.1 | 0:1 vs Neom SC (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Al Diriyah (-1.2) |
5 | Al Qadsiah | 13 | 31 | 28.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 2 | -2.0 | +5.0 | 3:2 vs Al Ahli SC (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Al Ittihad (-2.2) |
6 | Al Nassr | 11 | 28 | 25.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 3 | +3.8 | -1.6 | 3:0 vs Al Diriyah (+0.9) | 2:1 vs Al Ittihad (-2.1) |
7 | Al Khaleej | 12 | 15 | 13.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 13 | +2.0 | +0.0 | 2:3 vs Al Fateh (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Neom SC (-0.8) |
8 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 12 | 10.3 | +1.7On expectation | 17 | +4.8 | -3.1 | 2:0 vs Al Kholood (+2.1) | 4:2 vs Al Ettifaq (-1.5) |
9 | Al Kholood | 11 | 12 | 12.1 | -0.1On expectation | 14 | +3.9 | -4.0 | 3:1 vs Al Ahli SC (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Al Riyadh (-1.8) |
10 | Al Ahli SC | 11 | 21 | 21.3 | -0.3On expectation | 4 | +2.3 | -2.5 | 0:4 vs Al Fateh (+1.1) | 3:1 vs Al Kholood (-2.0) |
11 | Al Fayha | 12 | 11 | 11.8 | -0.8On expectation | 15 | +1.8 | -2.6 | 4:1 vs Al Faisaly (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Al Khaleej (-1.3) |
12 | Al Faisaly | 12 | 10 | 11.4 | -1.4On expectation | 16 | -1.1 | -0.3 | 3:2 vs Al Kholood (+1.8) | 4:1 vs Al Fayha (-1.5) |
13 | Al Shabab | 11 | 14 | 16.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 8 | -0.8 | -1.4 | 6:1 vs Al Ahli SC (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Al Kholood (-1.6) |
14 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 15 | 17.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 7 | -4.6 | +2.3 | 0:3 vs Al Ettifaq (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Neom SC (-1.5) |
15 | Al Hazem | 13 | 11 | 13.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 12 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Al Taawon (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Al Fateh (-1.4) |
16 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 3 | 6.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 19 | -2.5 | -0.7 | 0:0 vs Al Ettifaq (+0.0) | 0:2 vs Neom SC (-1.0) |
17 | Abha | 11 | 3 | 9.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 18 | -4.1 | -2.6 | 0:0 vs Al Diriyah (+0.4) | 0:1 vs Al Faisaly (-1.4) |
18 | Al Fateh | 13 | 7 | 13.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 11 | -6.3 | -0.6 | 2:3 vs Al Hazem (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Al Khaleej (-1.7) |
19 | Al Taawon | 12 | 5 | 14.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.8 | -6.1 | 1:1 vs Al Diriyah (+0.0) | 1:0 vs Al Hazem (-1.5) |