Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 81 | 67.8 | +13.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +9.0 | +4.3 | 3:2 vs Al Nassr (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Al Fateh (-2.0) |
2 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 77 | 65.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.7 | +6.8 | 1:2 vs Al Nassr (+2.2) | 3:2 vs Al Ettifaq (-2.2) |
3 | Al Hazem | 34 | 42 | 32.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 16 | +8.2 | +1.0 | 2:0 vs Al Taawon (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Al Shabab (-1.2) |
4 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 50 | 41.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 11 | +4.7 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Al Ittihad (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Al Riyadh (-1.6) |
5 | Al Taawon | 35 | 56 | 47.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +2.5 | +5.6 | 2:0 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Al Hazem (-2.1) |
6 | Al Nassr | 34 | 86 | 78.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.6 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs Al Ittihad (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Al Qadsiah (-2.0) |
7 | Al Hilal | 35 | 85 | 79.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.9 | +3.9 | 3:1 vs Al Nassr (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Al Riyadh (-1.5) |
8 | Al Qadisiya | 8 | 17 | 14.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 19 | +1.4 | +1.0 | 1:3 vs Neom SC (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Al Taawon (-1.7) |
9 | Al Fayha | 34 | 38 | 39.5 | -1.5On expectation | 12 | +2.5 | -4.0 | 2:3 vs Al Taawon (+1.9) | 0:5 vs Al Kholood (-1.7) |
10 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 30 | 33.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 14 | +1.3 | -4.9 | 3:1 vs Al Ittihad (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Al Hazem (-1.5) |
11 | Damac | 34 | 29 | 32.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 15 | -0.9 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs Al Taawon (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Al Khaleej (-1.3) |
12 | Al Kholood | 35 | 33 | 37.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 13 | -6.7 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Al Shabab (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Al Riyadh (-1.6) |
13 | Al Fateh | 35 | 37 | 41.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 10 | +1.7 | -6.0 | 2:1 vs Al Ahli SC (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Al Okhdood (-1.8) |
14 | Neom SC | 35 | 45 | 50.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 6 | -5.7 | +0.8 | 3:4 vs Al Ittihad (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Al Najma (-2.0) |
15 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 55 | 61.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -2.0 | -4.6 | 0:2 vs Al Taawon (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Al Ettifaq (-2.4) |
16 | Al Okhdood | 35 | 21 | 27.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.1 | -5.8 | 3:1 vs Al Khaleej (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Al Hazem (-1.4) |
17 | Al Khaleej | 35 | 37 | 45.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.2 | -4.6 | 1:4 vs Al Shabab (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Al Okhdood (-2.0) |
18 | Al Najma | 35 | 16 | 26.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 18 | -1.8 | -9.1 | 2:1 vs Neom SC (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Al Okhdood (-1.7) |
19 | Al Shabab | 34 | 35 | 48.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.4 | -9.0 | 3:2 vs Al Ittihad (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Al Najma (-2.0) |