Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 55 | 45.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.5 | +6.8 | 2:0 vs Al Hilal (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Abha (-2.0) |
2 | Al Taawon | 29 | 46 | 37.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +2.6 | +5.7 | 1:3 vs Al Shabab (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Al Fateh (-1.5) |
3 | Al Batin | 29 | 36 | 30.6 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 14 | +1.6 | +3.8 | 3:0 vs Al Wehda (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Damac (-1.4) |
4 | Abha | 29 | 36 | 31.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 13 | +0.2 | +4.1 | 2:3 vs Al Hilal (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Al Batin (-1.4) |
5 | Al Shabab | 29 | 54 | 50.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 3 | +1.4 | +1.7 | 0:4 vs Al Nassr (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Al Fateh (-2.0) |
6 | Damac | 29 | 36 | 32.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 12 | +4.5 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Al Hilal (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Al Fateh (-1.6) |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 29 | 44 | 41.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 6 | +0.1 | +2.7 | 4:3 vs Al Shabab (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Al Fateh (-1.6) |
8 | Al Fateh | 29 | 39 | 37.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 9 | -6.0 | +8.0 | 1:2 vs Al Nassr (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Abha (-1.7) |
9 | Faisaly-Al Wehda | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 2:4 vs Al (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Al (1.9) |
10 | Faisaly-Al Raed | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Al (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Al (1.7) |
11 | Faisaly-Al Fateh | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Al (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Al (1.6) |
12 | Faisaly-Al Ettifaq | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Al (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Al (1.6) |
13 | Faisaly-Al Shabab | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | +1.3 | 1:5 vs Al (+1.3) | 1:5 vs Al (1.3) |
14 | Al-Faisaly | 15 | 19 | 17.9 | +1.1On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Al Wehda (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Abha (-1.5) |
15 | Faisaly-Al Nassr | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | +1.1 | 2:3 vs Al (+1.1) | 2:3 vs Al (1.1) |
16 | Faisaly-Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 1:1 vs Al (+0.0) | 1:1 vs Al (0.0) |
17 | Faisaly-Al Qadisiya | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2:2 vs Al (+-0.1) | 2:2 vs Al (-0.1) |
18 | Al Qadisiya | 29 | 34 | 34.3 | -0.3On expectation | 11 | +1.5 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Al Nassr (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Al Nassr (-1.4) |
19 | Faisaly-Al Taawon | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0:0 vs Al (+-0.3) | 0:0 vs Al (-0.3) |
20 | Faisaly-Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Al (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Al (-0.4) |
21 | Faisaly-Damac | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Al (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs Al (-0.9) |
22 | Faisaly-Al Batin | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Al (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs Al (-1.0) |
23 | Faisaly-Abha | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Al (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs Al (-1.1) |
24 | Faisaly-Al Ahli SC | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Al (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs Al (-1.1) |
25 | Faisaly-Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 2.1 | -1.1On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:1 vs Al (+-1.2) | 1:1 vs Al (-1.2) |
26 | Al Hilal | 29 | 60 | 62.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 1 | -1.3 | -1.2 | 1:5 vs Al Shabab (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Abha (-2.4) |
27 | Al Raed | 29 | 33 | 35.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 10 | -7.0 | +4.3 | 2:3 vs Al Wehda (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Al Batin (-1.6) |
28 | Al | 15 | 17 | 21.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 16 | -4.3 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Faisaly-Al Ahli SC (+1.4) | 2:4 vs Faisaly-Al Wehda (-1.7) |
29 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 39 | 43.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 5 | -3.8 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Al Nassr (+1.9) | 4:3 vs Damac (-2.0) |
30 | Al Nassr | 29 | 43 | 50.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 2 | -1.1 | -6.8 | 1:0 vs Al Hilal (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Al Fateh (-2.2) |
31 | Al Ain | 29 | 19 | 28.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.8 | -6.5 | 4:0 vs Al Wehda (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Abha (-1.6) |
32 | Al Wehda | 29 | 29 | 38.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -9.6 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Al Hilal (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Al Raed (-2.0) |