Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ittihad | 30 | 72 | 59.3 | +12.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.3 | +6.3 | 1:0 vs Al Nassr (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Al Taawon (-2.0) |
2 | Al Taawon | 30 | 55 | 44.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.4 | +10.2 | 1:2 vs Al Hilal (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Al Khaleej (-2.1) |
3 | Al Nassr | 30 | 67 | 64.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 1 | +5.9 | -3.1 | 3:2 vs Al Shabab (+1.2) | 1:1 vs Al Khaleej (-1.5) |
4 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 37 | 36.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | +3.6 | -2.5 | 1:0 vs Al Shabab (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Al Raed (-1.6) |
5 | Abha | 30 | 33 | 32.2 | +0.8On expectation | 14 | +5.8 | -5.0 | 1:3 vs Al Taawon (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Al Wehda (-1.7) |
6 | Al Raed | 30 | 34 | 34.2 | -0.2On expectation | 12 | -0.9 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Damac (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Al Taee (-1.6) |
7 | Al Batin | 30 | 20 | 20.8 | -0.8On expectation | 16 | +6.1 | -6.9 | 1:0 vs Al Hilal (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Al Raed (-1.0) |
8 | Al Fateh | 30 | 43 | 44.2 | -1.2On expectation | 6 | -3.2 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Al Hilal (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Al Fayha (-2.1) |
9 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 31 | 32.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | +1.4 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Al Taawon (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Al Adalah (-1.5) |
10 | Damac | 30 | 36 | 38.0 | -2.0On expectation | 7 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 1:3 vs Al Taee (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Al Raed (-1.7) |
11 | Al Adalah | 30 | 28 | 30.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 15 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Al Shabab (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Al Ettifaq (-1.9) |
12 | Al Wehda | 30 | 32 | 34.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 11 | -1.6 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Al Shabab (+2.4) | 1:4 vs Al Khaleej (-1.6) |
13 | Al Hilal | 30 | 59 | 61.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 2 | -1.5 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Al Nassr (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Al Fateh (-2.2) |
14 | Al Fayha | 30 | 33 | 35.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 10 | -2.8 | +0.2 | 0:2 vs Al Fateh (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Al Khaleej (-1.6) |
15 | Al Shabab | 30 | 56 | 58.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 4 | +1.0 | -3.6 | 3:0 vs Al Hilal (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Al Adalah (-2.5) |
16 | Al Taee | 30 | 34 | 37.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 8 | +1.0 | -4.5 | 2:3 vs Al Fateh (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Damac (-1.7) |