Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 62 | 50.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.6 | +5.1 | 1:3 vs Al Nassr (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Al Taee (-2.0) |
2 | Damac | 29 | 44 | 32.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +7.1 | +4.6 | 0:1 vs Al Ettifaq (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Al Fateh (-1.1) |
3 | Al Taee | 29 | 37 | 30.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +5.3 | +1.3 | 1:0 vs Al Ittihad (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Damac (-1.6) |
4 | Al Nassr | 29 | 61 | 55.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.0 | +4.1 | 0:2 vs Al Hilal (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Al Ettifaq (-2.1) |
5 | Al | 15 | 27 | 22.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 16 | +4.8 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Faisaly-Al Nassr (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Faisaly-Al Ittihad (-1.5) |
6 | Al Shabab | 29 | 54 | 49.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 4 | +5.2 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Al Ittihad (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Abha (-1.9) |
7 | Al Hilal | 29 | 64 | 60.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 1 | +1.8 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs Al Ittihad (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Al Fateh (-2.5) |
8 | Abha | 29 | 35 | 32.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 12 | +6.9 | -4.2 | 2:1 vs Al Shabab (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Damac (-1.5) |
9 | Al Fayha | 29 | 35 | 32.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 10 | +7.7 | -5.4 | 1:0 vs Al Hilal (+2.4) | 3:1 vs Al Hazem (-1.5) |
10 | Faisaly-Al Ittihad | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Al (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Al (1.8) |
11 | Faisaly-Al Hilal | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 2:3 vs Al (+1.0) | 2:3 vs Al (1.0) |
12 | Al Batin | 29 | 32 | 31.4 | +0.6On expectation | 13 | +4.4 | -3.8 | 2:3 vs Al Fateh (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Al Taee (-1.3) |
13 | Faisaly-Al Batin | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 2:2 vs Al (+-0.0) | 2:2 vs Al (-0.0) |
14 | Faisaly-Al Raed | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0:0 vs Al (+-0.0) | 0:0 vs Al (-0.0) |
15 | Faisaly-Al Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Al (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Al (-0.3) |
16 | Al Raed | 29 | 35 | 35.3 | -0.3On expectation | 9 | +2.7 | -3.0 | 1:3 vs Al Ahli SC (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Damac (-1.7) |
17 | Faisaly-Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 2:2 vs Al (+-0.3) | 2:2 vs Al (-0.3) |
18 | Faisaly-Al Taawon | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 2:2 vs Al (+-0.4) | 2:2 vs Al (-0.4) |
19 | Faisaly-Al Shabab | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0:0 vs Al (+-0.5) | 0:0 vs Al (-0.5) |
20 | Faisaly-Al Taee | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Al (+-0.7) | 1:0 vs Al (-0.7) |
21 | Faisaly-Al Hazem | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Al (+-0.9) | 1:0 vs Al (-0.9) |
22 | Faisaly-Damac | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:0 vs Al (+-1.1) | 3:0 vs Al (-1.1) |
23 | Faisaly-Abha | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Al (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Al (-1.1) |
24 | Faisaly-Al Fayha | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Al (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs Al (-1.1) |
25 | Faisaly-Al Fateh | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Al (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs Al (-1.4) |
26 | Faisaly-Al Nassr | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 2:1 vs Al (+-2.0) | 2:1 vs Al (-2.0) |
27 | Al Fateh | 29 | 35 | 37.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 8 | -2.5 | +0.2 | 2:3 vs Al Hilal (+2.7) | 1:2 vs Al Taee (-1.9) |
28 | Al Ettifaq | 29 | 33 | 39.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.7 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Al Nassr (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Al Taee (-1.9) |
29 | Al Taawon | 29 | 33 | 42.0 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 6 | -5.5 | -3.6 | 1:3 vs Al Ettifaq (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Al Taee (-2.0) |
30 | Al Hazem | 29 | 17 | 27.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 15 | -3.5 | -7.4 | 0:1 vs Al Fateh (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Al Taee (-1.5) |
31 | Al-Faisaly | 15 | 6 | 18.3 | -12.3Underperforming −− | 17 | 0.0 | -12.3 | 2:2 vs Al Taawon (+-0.2) | 3:1 vs Al Taee (-1.5) |
32 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 31 | 43.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -5.3 | -7.5 | 0:1 vs Al Fateh (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Al Raed (-1.9) |