Fastest starters
Al Kholood28%
11 of their 39 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Damac34%
11 of their 32 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Al Nassr are 2025-2026 champions — 86 pts
Their xPTS said 78.4: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+7.0uBlindly backing under 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-13.4 ptsAl Shabab produced performances worth 13 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
37%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 28.4' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Saudi Professional League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 86 | 78.4 | +7.6 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 85 | 79.3 | +5.7 | |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 81 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+