The season in numbers
Draws paid out more than the market charged: +5.5% at market prices across 101 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Al Taawon produced performances worth 10 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Al Diriyah – Neom SC2026-10-30 14:50Under 2.5Model 75.4%Implied 51.3%▲ +24.1%- Al Shabab – Al Ahli SC2026-10-30 18:00Away winModel 59.0%Implied 49.5%▲ +9.5%
- Al Nassr – Al Kholood2026-10-29 18:00Over 1.5 HTModel 58.4%Implied 51.8%▲ +6.6%
- Al Taawon – Al Ettifaq2026-10-31 13:30Under 2.5Model 54.4%Implied 48.3%▲ +6.1%
- Al Hilal – Al Fateh2026-10-31 18:00FT U3.5Model 44.0%Implied 39.8%▲ +4.1%
- Al Khaleej – Al Hazem2026-10-29 14:35DrawModel 28.4%Implied 30.0%-1.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Diriyah– Neom SC | 2026-10-30 | 14:50 | Under 2.5 | 75.4% | 51.3% | ▲ +24.1% | 1.95 |
| 2 |  Al Shabab– Al Ahli SC | 2026-10-30 | 18:00 | Away win | 59.0% | 49.5% | ▲ +9.5% | 2.02 |
| 3 |  Al Nassr– Al Kholood | 2026-10-29 | 18:00 | Over 1.5 HT | 58.4% | 51.8% | ▲ +6.6% | 1.93 |
| 4 |  Al Taawon– Al Ettifaq | 2026-10-31 | 13:30 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 48.3% | ▲ +6.1% | 2.07 |
| 5 |  Al Hilal– Al Fateh | 2026-10-31 | 18:00 | FT U3.5 | 44.0% | 39.8% | ▲ +4.1% | 2.51 |
| 6 |  Al Khaleej– Al Hazem | 2026-10-29 | 14:35 | Draw | 28.4% | 30.0% | -1.6% | 3.33 |
Add Saudi Professional League fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
straight-line pace · ~21 rounds leftAt their current points pace, Al Hilal finish top with ~87 points — 7 clear of the field. The market's biggest argument is with Al Taawon: their results pace says ~12 points, the pace of their market prices (xPTS) says ~39 — one of them gives in.
| # | Team | Pts now | Results pace | Market pace | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 30 | 87 | 75 | +13 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 25 | 80 | 75 | +5 |
| 3 |  Al Ittihad | 26 | 76 | 51 | +25 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 75 | 69 | +6 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 21 | 67 | 63 | +4 |
| · · · | |||||
| 17 | Al-Faisaly | 3 | 14 | 28 | -14 |
| 18 | Al Taawon | 4 | 12 | 39 | -28 |
| 19 | Abha | 2 | 7 | 27 | -20 |
Straight-line pace over each team's remaining scheduled fixtures — not a simulation. Market pace extrapolates xPTS (the points the market's prices expected so far) the same way. Split and playoff rounds count once they're scheduled.
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Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Saudi Professional League match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 30 | 25.7 | +4.3 | |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 25.8 | +2.3 | |
| 3 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 17.4 | +8.6 | outperformed expectations |
| 4 | Al Nassr | 25 | 23.4 | +1.6 | |
| 5 | Neom SC | 22 | 18.3 | +3.7 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 17 | Al Taawon | 4 | 13.6 | -9.6 | underperformed expectations |
| 18 | Al-Faisaly | 3 | 6.1 | -3.1 | |
| 19 | Abha | 2 | 7.6 | -5.6 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+