Liga Portugal 2 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sporting CP B | 10 | 22 | 13.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 11 | +2.9 | +6.0 | 0:1 vs AFS (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Lusitania FC (-1.5) |
2 | Penafiel | 10 | 22 | 13.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +1.0 | +7.2 | 1:4 vs SC Farense (+2.1) | 1:2 vs AFS (-1.8) |
3 | Benfica B | 10 | 20 | 12.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 13 | +2.8 | +4.4 | 2:3 vs SC Farense (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Amarante (-1.3) |
4 | Lusitania FC | 10 | 19 | 14.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 7 | +1.6 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Sporting CP B (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Feirense (-1.5) |
5 | Academica | 10 | 16 | 13.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 12 | -0.4 | +3.4 | 1:4 vs Chaves (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Benfica B (-1.5) |
6 | Leiria | 10 | 17 | 15.1 | +1.9On expectation | 5 | +0.6 | +1.4 | 2:3 vs Torreense (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Benfica B (-1.8) |
7 | AFS | 10 | 13 | 11.6 | +1.4On expectation | 16 | +1.4 | -0.0 | 1:2 vs Penafiel (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sporting CP B (-1.7) |
8 | Portimonense | 10 | 14 | 12.7 | +1.3On expectation | 14 | -1.2 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Penafiel (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Sporting CP B (-1.4) |
9 | Vizela | 10 | 15 | 14.8 | +0.2On expectation | 6 | +2.3 | -2.1 | 0:3 vs Torreense (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Sporting CP B (-1.6) |
10 | Tondela | 10 | 16 | 15.8 | +0.2On expectation | 1 | +3.1 | -3.0 | 1:0 vs Torreense (+1.5) | 2:1 vs AFS (-1.8) |
11 | SC Farense | 10 | 15 | 15.8 | -0.8On expectation | 2 | -0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Torreense (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Benfica B (-1.9) |
12 | FC Porto B | 10 | 8 | 10.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 18 | -3.6 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Leixoes (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Penafiel (-1.3) |
13 | Amarante | 10 | 9 | 11.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 17 | +0.1 | -2.7 | 1:0 vs Benfica B (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Portimonense (-1.4) |
14 | Leixoes | 10 | 11 | 15.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 4 | -2.5 | -1.7 | 0:2 vs Portimonense (+1.6) | 1:2 vs FC Porto B (-2.0) |
15 | Felgueiras | 10 | 8 | 13.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.4 | -3.8 | 2:1 vs Chaves (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Penafiel (-1.5) |
16 | Torreense | 10 | 10 | 15.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 3 | -3.2 | -2.2 | 0:2 vs Benfica B (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Leiria (-1.7) |
17 | Chaves | 10 | 8 | 13.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -0.7 | -4.8 | 2:1 vs Vizela (+1.6) | 1:4 vs Academica (-1.7) |
18 | Feirense | 10 | 5 | 12.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.0 | -5.3 | 1:0 vs Lusitania FC (+1.8) | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (-1.6) |
