Liga Portugal 2 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 16 | 8.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.6 | +5.2 | 1:2 vs Sporting CP B (+1.8) | 2:2 vs Torreense (-0.2) |
2 | Penafiel | 6 | 13 | 8.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 8 | +1.5 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Felgueiras (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Portimonense (-1.7) |
3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 12 | 8.1 | +4.0Outperforming | 9 | +1.6 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs AFS (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Lusitania FC (-1.5) |
4 | Benfica B | 6 | 10 | 7.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 10 | -0.4 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Leiria (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Amarante (-1.3) |
5 | Vizela | 6 | 11 | 8.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 3 | +2.4 | -0.3 | 0:3 vs Torreense (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Portimonense (-1.4) |
6 | Academica | 6 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.2On expectation | 12 | -1.6 | +2.7 | 1:4 vs Chaves (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Benfica B (-1.5) |
7 | Leixoes | 6 | 10 | 8.8 | +1.1On expectation | 5 | +1.0 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Portimonense (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Leiria (-1.7) |
8 | Leiria | 6 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1On expectation | 4 | +1.1 | +0.0 | 2:4 vs Leixoes (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Benfica B (-1.7) |
9 | SC Farense | 5 | 8 | 7.2 | +0.8On expectation | 15 | +1.2 | -0.4 | 2:1 vs Torreense (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Sporting CP B (-1.3) |
10 | Portimonense | 6 | 7 | 7.1 | -0.1On expectation | 16 | -0.8 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Penafiel (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Leixoes (-1.3) |
11 | Tondela | 6 | 9 | 9.4 | -0.4On expectation | 1 | +0.4 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs Portimonense (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Academica (-1.7) |
12 | AFS | 6 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5On expectation | 13 | -0.4 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Feirense (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Sporting CP B (-1.7) |
13 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 6.5 | -1.6On expectation | 18 | +0.2 | -1.7 | 1:0 vs Benfica B (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Lusitania FC (-1.3) |
14 | Felgueiras | 6 | 6 | 8.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 7 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Chaves (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Penafiel (-1.5) |
15 | FC Porto B | 6 | 4 | 6.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 17 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Feirense (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Penafiel (-1.3) |
16 | Torreense | 6 | 6 | 9.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 2 | -2.7 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Benfica B (+1.5) | 2:1 vs SC Farense (-1.6) |
17 | Chaves | 5 | 4 | 7.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | -0.9 | -2.4 | 1:0 vs Feirense (+1.4) | 1:4 vs Academica (-1.7) |
18 | Feirense | 6 | 1 | 7.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 11 | -3.4 | -3.5 | 0:0 vs Felgueiras (+-0.3) | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (-1.6) |
