Liga Portugal 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Alverca | 34 | 63 | 48.0 | +15.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +8.8 | +6.2 | 1:2 vs Maritimo (+2.2) | 3:2 vs Penafiel (-1.6) |
2 | Tondela | 34 | 64 | 51.6 | +12.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.1 | +6.3 | 1:3 vs Benfica B (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Leiria (-1.6) |
3 | Torreense | 34 | 54 | 46.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 11 | +1.8 | +6.1 | 0:3 vs Maritimo (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Mafra (-2.0) |
4 | Feirense | 34 | 49 | 42.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 14 | +5.4 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Benfica B (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Oliveirense (-1.4) |
5 | Benfica B | 34 | 55 | 48.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +3.3 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Chaves (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Feirense (-1.8) |
6 | Vizela | 34 | 62 | 56.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | -1.8 | +6.9 | 0:1 vs Leixoes (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Penafiel (-1.8) |
7 | Penafiel | 34 | 45 | 40.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 16 | +0.9 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Maritimo (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Academico Viseu (-1.5) |
8 | Leiria | 34 | 52 | 48.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 6 | -4.0 | +7.6 | 0:1 vs Academico Viseu (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Torreense (-1.7) |
9 | Chaves | 34 | 51 | 51.4 | -0.4On expectation | 3 | -3.6 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Felgueiras (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Mafra (-1.9) |
10 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 45 | 47.0 | -1.9On expectation | 9 | +3.4 | -5.3 | 0:2 vs Penafiel (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Leiria (-1.7) |
11 | Felgueiras | 34 | 46 | 49.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 5 | -0.3 | -3.7 | 1:2 vs Pacos Ferreira (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Torreense (-1.7) |
12 | Leixoes | 34 | 41 | 46.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 10 | +1.2 | -6.3 | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Oliveirense (-1.8) |
13 | Oliveirense | 34 | 29 | 35.1 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.2 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Maritimo (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Pacos Ferreira (-1.2) |
14 | Maritimo | 34 | 43 | 50.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -11.8 | +4.8 | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Oliveirense (-2.2) |
15 | Portimonense | 34 | 34 | 41.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.3 | -5.4 | 1:2 vs FC Porto B (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Oliveirense (-1.7) |
16 | FC Porto B | 34 | 35 | 43.4 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -4.7 | -3.8 | 2:4 vs Torreense (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Portimonense (-1.6) |
17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 33 | 44.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -9.6 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Leiria (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Oliveirense (-1.8) |
18 | Mafra | 34 | 27 | 39.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.6 | -11.3 | 2:0 vs Torreense (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Tondela (-1.5) |
