Liga Portugal 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nacional | 34 | 71 | 51.9 | +19.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +12.4 | +6.7 | 0:1 vs Santa Clara (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Feirense (-1.5) |
2 | Santa Clara | 34 | 73 | 60.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.5 | +8.0 | 0:1 vs Leiria (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Pacos Ferreira (-2.0) |
3 | AFS | 34 | 64 | 55.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | -2.2 | +11.1 | 0:1 vs Maritimo (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Tondela (-2.2) |
4 | Maritimo | 34 | 64 | 57.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | -1.8 | +8.0 | 0:2 vs FC Porto B (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Torreense (-1.9) |
5 | Tondela | 34 | 49 | 45.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 10 | -2.7 | +6.2 | 0:1 vs AFS (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Os Belenenses (-1.6) |
6 | Torreense | 34 | 48 | 45.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 11 | -0.8 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Maritimo (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Pacos Ferreira (-1.6) |
7 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 52 | 49.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 5 | +2.2 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Santa Clara (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Leixoes (-2.0) |
8 | Mafra | 34 | 44 | 44.3 | -0.3On expectation | 12 | -4.3 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Santa Clara (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Leixoes (-1.8) |
9 | Benfica B | 34 | 45 | 45.9 | -0.9On expectation | 9 | -3.0 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs FC Porto B (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Feirense (-1.7) |
10 | Penafiel | 34 | 39 | 41.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 14 | +1.5 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Mafra (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Nacional (-1.5) |
11 | Oliveirense | 34 | 34 | 37.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 16 | -4.4 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs AFS (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Vilaverdense (-1.6) |
12 | FC Porto B | 34 | 44 | 48.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | -5.6 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs AFS (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Oliveirense (-1.9) |
13 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 43 | 48.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -2.5 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Torreense (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Mafra (-1.6) |
14 | Leixoes | 34 | 37 | 42.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -11.3 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Pacos Ferreira (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Vilaverdense (-1.9) |
15 | Vilaverdense | 34 | 28 | 35.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -3.4 | -3.8 | 1:3 vs Leixoes (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Nacional (-1.8) |
16 | Leiria | 34 | 42 | 49.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.0 | -6.2 | 0:1 vs Benfica B (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Vilaverdense (-1.7) |
17 | Feirense | 34 | 31 | 40.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 15 | +2.2 | -11.3 | 2:3 vs Benfica B (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Vilaverdense (-1.7) |
18 | Os Belenenses | 34 | 26 | 35.8 | -9.8Underperforming −− | 17 | -4.8 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs Tondela (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Vilaverdense (-1.6) |
