Liga Portugal 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FC Porto B | 34 | 51 | 39.3 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 14 | +10.2 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Chaves (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Oliveirense (-1.4) |
2 | Maritimo | 34 | 66 | 55.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | -0.1 | +10.2 | 0:1 vs Felgueiras (+2.0) | 0:1 vs SC Farense (-1.9) |
3 | Torreense | 36 | 60 | 54.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.2 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Vizela (+2.0) | 0:3 vs FC Porto B (-1.8) |
4 | Leixoes | 34 | 50 | 44.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | -0.3 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Felgueiras (+2.3) | 2:4 vs FC Porto B (-1.6) |
5 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 59 | 54.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 2 | +6.3 | -1.8 | 1:3 vs Felgueiras (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Pacos Ferreira (-1.9) |
6 | Feirense | 34 | 46 | 42.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 12 | -0.2 | +3.5 | 0:1 vs SC Farense (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pacos Ferreira (-1.8) |
7 | Penafiel | 34 | 41 | 38.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 16 | +3.5 | -1.0 | 1:3 vs Vizela (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Pacos Ferreira (-1.7) |
8 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 39 | 37.2 | +1.8On expectation | 17 | +4.2 | -2.4 | 2:1 vs Academico Viseu (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Feirense (-1.6) |
9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3On expectation | 19 | +1.5 | -0.3 | 2:0 vs Torreense (+1.5) | 0:0 vs Torreense (-0.2) |
10 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 43 | 42.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | -0.8 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Maritimo (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Oliveirense (-1.7) |
11 | Portimonense | 34 | 40 | 39.0 | +1.0On expectation | 15 | -2.4 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Chaves (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Pacos Ferreira (-1.5) |
12 | Os Belenenses | 2 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3On expectation | 20 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 0:0 vs SC Farense (+-0.4) | 1:0 vs SC Farense (-0.9) |
13 | Oliveirense | 34 | 34 | 35.7 | -1.7On expectation | 18 | +1.3 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs Lusitania FC (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Portimonense (-1.5) |
14 | Leiria | 34 | 50 | 51.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | -1.2 | -0.7 | 1:3 vs Maritimo (+2.0) | 0:3 vs SC Farense (-1.8) |
15 | Vizela | 34 | 51 | 53.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 5 | -1.4 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Felgueiras (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Penafiel (-2.0) |
16 | Benfica B | 34 | 44 | 47.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 9 | -0.9 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs Academico Viseu (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Penafiel (-1.8) |
17 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 42 | 46.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | -4.5 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Torreense (+2.0) | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (-1.7) |
18 | Chaves | 34 | 45 | 50.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.5 | -1.1 | 1:3 vs Maritimo (+2.0) | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (-2.0) |
19 | Felgueiras | 34 | 44 | 50.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs Academico Viseu (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Leixoes (-2.0) |
20 | SC Farense | 36 | 44 | 53.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 4 | -10.1 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Maritimo (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Portimonense (-1.9) |
