Liga Portugal 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arouca | 34 | 65 | 53.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.6 | +7.9 | 0:1 vs Feirense (+2.1) | 2:3 vs FC Porto B (-2.0) |
2 | Estoril | 34 | 70 | 58.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.1 | +8.2 | 0:2 vs Chaves (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Academica (-1.7) |
3 | Academica | 34 | 62 | 51.7 | +10.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.6 | +7.7 | 1:2 vs Estoril (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Varzim (-2.0) |
4 | Vizela | 34 | 66 | 56.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +7.9 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Feirense (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Academica (-1.5) |
5 | Casa Pia | 34 | 43 | 39.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 14 | +0.2 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Chaves (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Benfica B (-1.4) |
6 | Penafiel | 34 | 46 | 43.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 11 | +0.1 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Feirense (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Varzim (-2.0) |
7 | Chaves | 34 | 57 | 55.6 | +1.4On expectation | 4 | -4.3 | +5.7 | 0:4 vs Feirense (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Oliveirense (-2.2) |
8 | CD Cova da Piedade | 34 | 37 | 35.8 | +1.3On expectation | 18 | -1.4 | +2.7 | 1:3 vs Covilha (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Academico Viseu (-1.4) |
9 | Feirense | 34 | 58 | 58.0 | +0.1On expectation | 2 | -1.9 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Chaves (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Penafiel (-1.9) |
10 | Benfica B | 34 | 44 | 44.7 | -0.7On expectation | 9 | +6.2 | -6.9 | 2:1 vs FC Porto B (+2.3) | 0:1 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.8) |
11 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 36 | 38.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 16 | -2.4 | -0.0 | 1:0 vs FC Porto B (+2.1) | 0:2 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.6) |
12 | Leixoes | 34 | 40 | 43.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 10 | +1.0 | -4.5 | 2:0 vs FC Porto B (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Oliveirense (-1.5) |
13 | Covilha | 34 | 37 | 41.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 12 | -2.2 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Oliveirense (+2.0) | 1:3 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.9) |
14 | Oliveirense | 34 | 31 | 36.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 17 | -3.2 | -2.4 | 0:2 vs Chaves (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Casa Pia (-1.8) |
15 | Varzim | 34 | 33 | 40.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -8.2 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Penafiel (+2.2) | 1:3 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.6) |
16 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 31 | 38.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 15 | -6.1 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs Mafra (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Varzim (-1.4) |
17 | Mafra | 34 | 37 | 45.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.7 | -7.5 | 2:1 vs Feirense (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Vilafranquense (-1.9) |
18 | FC Porto B | 34 | 32 | 49.2 | -17.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -9.1 | -8.1 | 2:3 vs Arouca (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Benfica B (-2.1) |
