Liga Portugal 2 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Arouca	34	65	53.6	+11.4Outperforming ++	5	+3.6	+7.9	0:1 vs Feirense (+2.1)	2:3 vs FC Porto B (-2.0)
2	Estoril	34	70	58.7	+11.3Outperforming ++	1	+3.1	+8.2	0:2 vs Chaves (+1.8)	1:2 vs Academica (-1.7)
3	Academica	34	62	51.7	+10.3Outperforming ++	6	+2.6	+7.7	1:2 vs Estoril (+2.0)	1:2 vs Varzim (-2.0)
4	Vizela	34	66	56.2	+9.8Outperforming ++	3	+7.9	+1.9	1:2 vs Feirense (+1.8)	1:3 vs Academica (-1.5)
5	Casa Pia	34	43	39.5	+3.5Outperforming	14	+0.2	+3.3	1:2 vs Chaves (+2.4)	2:0 vs Benfica B (-1.4)
6	Penafiel	34	46	43.4	+2.6Outperforming	11	+0.1	+2.5	0:1 vs Feirense (+2.1)	1:2 vs Varzim (-2.0)
7	Chaves	34	57	55.6	+1.4On expectation	4	-4.3	+5.7	0:4 vs Feirense (+1.9)	0:2 vs Oliveirense (-2.2)
8	CD Cova da Piedade	34	37	35.8	+1.3On expectation	18	-1.4	+2.7	1:3 vs Covilha (+2.1)	0:2 vs Academico Viseu (-1.4)
9	Feirense	34	58	58.0	+0.1On expectation	2	-1.9	+2.0	0:1 vs Chaves (+1.7)	0:1 vs Penafiel (-1.9)
10	Benfica B	34	44	44.7	-0.7On expectation	9	+6.2	-6.9	2:1 vs FC Porto B (+2.3)	0:1 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.8)
11	Academico Viseu	34	36	38.4	-2.4Underperforming	16	-2.4	-0.0	1:0 vs FC Porto B (+2.1)	0:2 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.6)
12	Leixoes	34	40	43.6	-3.6Underperforming	10	+1.0	-4.5	2:0 vs FC Porto B (+1.9)	2:1 vs Oliveirense (-1.5)
13	Covilha	34	37	41.2	-4.2Underperforming	12	-2.2	-1.9	1:2 vs Oliveirense (+2.0)	1:3 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.9)
14	Oliveirense	34	31	36.6	-5.6Underperforming −−	17	-3.2	-2.4	0:2 vs Chaves (+2.4)	0:1 vs Casa Pia (-1.8)
15	Varzim	34	33	40.4	-7.4Underperforming −−	13	-8.2	+0.8	1:2 vs Penafiel (+2.2)	1:3 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.6)
16	Vilafranquense	34	31	38.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	15	-6.1	-1.3	0:1 vs Mafra (+2.1)	1:3 vs Varzim (-1.4)
17	Mafra	34	37	45.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	8	-0.7	-7.5	2:1 vs Feirense (+1.8)	0:1 vs Vilafranquense (-1.9)
18	FC Porto B	34	32	49.2	-17.2Underperforming −−	7	-9.1	-8.1	2:3 vs Arouca (+2.2)	2:1 vs Benfica B (-2.1)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Arouca	34	65	53.6	+11.4Outperforming ++	5	+3.6	+7.9	0:1 vs Feirense (+2.1)	2:3 vs FC Porto B (-2.0)
2	Estoril	34	70	58.7	+11.3Outperforming ++	1	+3.1	+8.2	0:2 vs Chaves (+1.8)	1:2 vs Academica (-1.7)
3	Academica	34	62	51.7	+10.3Outperforming ++	6	+2.6	+7.7	1:2 vs Estoril (+2.0)	1:2 vs Varzim (-2.0)
4	Vizela	34	66	56.2	+9.8Outperforming ++	3	+7.9	+1.9	1:2 vs Feirense (+1.8)	1:3 vs Academica (-1.5)
5	Casa Pia	34	43	39.5	+3.5Outperforming	14	+0.2	+3.3	1:2 vs Chaves (+2.4)	2:0 vs Benfica B (-1.4)
6	Penafiel	34	46	43.4	+2.6Outperforming	11	+0.1	+2.5	0:1 vs Feirense (+2.1)	1:2 vs Varzim (-2.0)
7	Chaves	34	57	55.6	+1.4On expectation	4	-4.3	+5.7	0:4 vs Feirense (+1.9)	0:2 vs Oliveirense (-2.2)
8	CD Cova da Piedade	34	37	35.8	+1.3On expectation	18	-1.4	+2.7	1:3 vs Covilha (+2.1)	0:2 vs Academico Viseu (-1.4)
9	Feirense	34	58	58.0	+0.1On expectation	2	-1.9	+2.0	0:1 vs Chaves (+1.7)	0:1 vs Penafiel (-1.9)
10	Benfica B	34	44	44.7	-0.7On expectation	9	+6.2	-6.9	2:1 vs FC Porto B (+2.3)	0:1 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.8)
11	Academico Viseu	34	36	38.4	-2.4Underperforming	16	-2.4	-0.0	1:0 vs FC Porto B (+2.1)	0:2 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.6)
12	Leixoes	34	40	43.6	-3.6Underperforming	10	+1.0	-4.5	2:0 vs FC Porto B (+1.9)	2:1 vs Oliveirense (-1.5)
13	Covilha	34	37	41.2	-4.2Underperforming	12	-2.2	-1.9	1:2 vs Oliveirense (+2.0)	1:3 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.9)
14	Oliveirense	34	31	36.6	-5.6Underperforming −−	17	-3.2	-2.4	0:2 vs Chaves (+2.4)	0:1 vs Casa Pia (-1.8)
15	Varzim	34	33	40.4	-7.4Underperforming −−	13	-8.2	+0.8	1:2 vs Penafiel (+2.2)	1:3 vs CD Cova da Piedade (-1.6)
16	Vilafranquense	34	31	38.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	15	-6.1	-1.3	0:1 vs Mafra (+2.1)	1:3 vs Varzim (-1.4)
17	Mafra	34	37	45.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	8	-0.7	-7.5	2:1 vs Feirense (+1.8)	0:1 vs Vilafranquense (-1.9)
18	FC Porto B	34	32	49.2	-17.2Underperforming −−	7	-9.1	-8.1	2:3 vs Arouca (+2.2)	2:1 vs Benfica B (-2.1)