Liga Portugal 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Moreirense | 34 | 79 | 57.9 | +21.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +14.8 | +6.3 | 2:4 vs Estrela (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Torreense (-1.5) |
2 | Estrela | 34 | 63 | 50.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.2 | +9.8 | 2:4 vs Penafiel (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Nacional (-2.1) |
3 | SC Farense | 34 | 69 | 57.5 | +11.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.4 | +1.2 | 0:3 vs Mafra (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Covilha (-1.6) |
4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 53 | 50.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 4 | +3.3 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Penafiel (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Oliveirense (-1.8) |
5 | Oliveirense | 34 | 43 | 41.1 | +1.9On expectation | 15 | +2.3 | -0.4 | 1:3 vs Tondela (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Feirense (-1.4) |
6 | Feirense | 34 | 46 | 46.4 | -0.4On expectation | 10 | -4.8 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Penafiel (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Covilha (-2.0) |
7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 46 | 46.5 | -0.5On expectation | 9 | -2.6 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs FC Porto B (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Trofense (-1.8) |
8 | Torreense | 34 | 44 | 44.8 | -0.8On expectation | 11 | +1.7 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs Academico Viseu (+2.0) | 0:1 vs BSAD (-1.7) |
9 | FC Porto B | 34 | 51 | 52.1 | -1.1On expectation | 3 | -1.6 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Mafra (+1.8) | 1:2 vs BSAD (-1.9) |
10 | Mafra | 34 | 47 | 48.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | -3.6 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Trofense (+2.1) | 0:1 vs BSAD (-1.8) |
11 | Nacional | 34 | 39 | 41.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 14 | -6.4 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Estrela (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Trofense (-1.8) |
12 | BSAD | 34 | 35 | 38.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 17 | -10.7 | +6.9 | 1:2 vs FC Porto B (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Covilha (-1.5) |
13 | Leixoes | 34 | 39 | 43.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 13 | -2.0 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs Nacional (+1.8) | 0:2 vs BSAD (-1.6) |
14 | Benfica B | 34 | 38 | 43.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.0 | -1.8 | 0:3 vs Penafiel (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Nacional (-1.7) |
15 | Tondela | 34 | 40 | 46.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 8 | -6.6 | -0.2 | 0:3 vs Torreense (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Oliveirense (-1.9) |
16 | Trofense | 34 | 32 | 39.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.8 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Vilafranquense (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Mafra (-1.9) |
17 | Covilha | 34 | 28 | 35.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 18 | -5.1 | -2.4 | 0:2 vs Feirense (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Trofense (-1.4) |
18 | Penafiel | 34 | 39 | 48.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 6 | -8.1 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Vilafranquense (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Benfica B (-1.8) |
