Liga Portugal 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feirense | 34 | 58 | 45.7 | +12.3Outperforming ++ | 10 | +4.2 | +8.1 | 0:4 vs Rio Ave (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Estrela (-1.7) |
2 | Casa Pia | 34 | 68 | 57.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.9 | -0.5 | 0:1 vs SC Farense (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Academico Viseu (-2.0) |
3 | Chaves | 34 | 64 | 53.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +9.5 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Academica (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Penafiel (-1.5) |
4 | Rio Ave | 34 | 70 | 60.3 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.4 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Casa Pia (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Academico Viseu (-2.2) |
5 | Benfica B | 34 | 57 | 47.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | -2.7 | +11.8 | 2:3 vs FC Porto B (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Feirense (-2.0) |
6 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 41 | 35.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 18 | +0.3 | +5.2 | 1:2 vs Academica (+2.2) | 2:4 vs Trofense (-1.6) |
7 | Penafiel | 34 | 51 | 45.9 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 9 | +3.7 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Feirense (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Estrela (-1.6) |
8 | Leixoes | 34 | 48 | 43.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 12 | -1.7 | +6.3 | 0:1 vs SC Farense (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Trofense (-1.7) |
9 | Nacional | 34 | 51 | 50.0 | +1.0On expectation | 5 | +5.5 | -4.5 | 2:0 vs Rio Ave (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Benfica B (-1.7) |
10 | Trofense | 34 | 40 | 40.2 | -0.2On expectation | 16 | -0.5 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Leixoes (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Vilafranquense (-1.8) |
11 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 37 | 37.4 | -0.4On expectation | 17 | -5.3 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Rio Ave (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Estrela (-1.5) |
12 | Covilha | 34 | 36 | 40.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 15 | -1.9 | -2.4 | 0:2 vs Varzim (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Estrela (-1.4) |
13 | Estrela | 34 | 37 | 41.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 14 | -5.9 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Feirense (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Academica (-1.8) |
14 | Mafra | 34 | 43 | 47.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 7 | -6.5 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Rio Ave (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Feirense (-1.6) |
15 | FC Porto B | 34 | 42 | 46.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 8 | -0.8 | -4.1 | 1:2 vs Academica (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Benfica B (-1.9) |
16 | Varzim | 34 | 35 | 43.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 11 | -3.1 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs Benfica B (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Covilha (-1.8) |
17 | SC Farense | 34 | 41 | 52.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.0 | -8.3 | 0:2 vs Mafra (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Leixoes (-1.9) |
18 | Academica | 34 | 17 | 41.6 | -24.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -13.4 | -11.2 | 1:3 vs Estrela (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Vilafranquense (-1.9) |
