Serie C - Group B 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spezia | 8 | 22 | 13.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.8 | +5.3 | 0:3 vs Perugia (+1.7) | 1:1 vs Grosseto (-0.8) |
2 | Grosseto | 8 | 15 | 10.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 11 | +1.3 | +3.3 | 0:4 vs Pineto (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Sambenedettese (-1.7) |
3 | Ravenna | 8 | 17 | 13.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 2 | +3.2 | 0.0 | 3:0 vs Perugia (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Pianese (-1.9) |
4 | Livorno | 8 | 14 | 11.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 7 | +4.0 | -1.7 | 1:0 vs Atalanta U23 (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Pescara (-1.3) |
5 | Perugia | 8 | 13 | 11.8 | +1.2On expectation | 6 | +2.8 | -1.6 | 1:0 vs Reggiana (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Spezia (-1.4) |
6 | Reggiana | 8 | 14 | 13.0 | +1.0On expectation | 4 | +0.3 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Gubbio (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Perugia (-1.5) |
7 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 9 | 8.0 | +1.0On expectation | 19 | +2.1 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Pescara (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Vado (-1.5) |
8 | Guidonia | 8 | 12 | 11.6 | +0.5On expectation | 9 | +3.5 | -3.0 | 1:0 vs Pineto (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Vis Pesaro (-1.7) |
9 | Torres | 8 | 12 | 11.6 | +0.4On expectation | 8 | +3.3 | -2.9 | 1:0 vs Sambenedettese (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Grosseto (-1.3) |
10 | Campobasso | 8 | 12 | 11.9 | +0.1On expectation | 5 | -1.7 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Vado (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Gubbio (-1.8) |
11 | Forli | 8 | 10 | 10.5 | -0.5On expectation | 10 | +2.7 | -3.3 | 6:3 vs Pescara (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Vado (-1.4) |
12 | Vado | 8 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6On expectation | 17 | +1.2 | -1.8 | 2:0 vs Atalanta U23 (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Campobasso (-1.3) |
13 | Ostiamare | 8 | 8 | 9.4 | -1.4On expectation | 15 | -2.9 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Vis Pesaro (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Grosseto (-1.5) |
14 | Gubbio | 8 | 7 | 8.5 | -1.5On expectation | 18 | -2.2 | +0.7 | 2:4 vs Campobasso (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Ostiamare (-1.5) |
15 | Pescara | 8 | 11 | 13.0 | -2.0On expectation | 3 | -1.8 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Livorno (+1.6) | 6:3 vs Forli (-1.7) |
16 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 4 | 6.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 20 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 2:1 vs Guidonia (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ostiamare (-1.5) |
17 | Pineto | 8 | 7 | 10.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 12 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Sambenedettese (+1.5) | 0:4 vs Grosseto (-1.5) |
18 | Pianese | 8 | 6 | 9.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 16 | +0.8 | -3.9 | 2:1 vs Ravenna (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Torres (-1.0) |
19 | Latina | 7 | 6 | 9.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | -0.4 | -3.1 | 2:0 vs Forli (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Gubbio (-1.3) |
20 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 5 | 9.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 13 | -4.0 | -0.6 | 1:3 vs Grosseto (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Atalanta U23 (-1.3) |
