The season in numbers
The outlier
+5.9uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-2.6 ptsSambenedettese produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
30%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.9' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Serie C - Group B match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Home wins▲ +5.9u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: +5.9 units over 30 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -0.2u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: -0.2 units over 30 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -2.1u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: -2.1 units over 30 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -2.1u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: -2.1 units over 30 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -4.0u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: -4.0 units over 30 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -5.1u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: -5.1 units over 30 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -16.0u
30 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Serie C - Group B match in 2026-2027: -16.0 units over 30 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggiana | 7 | 5.2 | +1.8 | |
| 2 | Grosseto | 7 | 3.6 | +3.4 | |
| 3 |  Perugia | 7 | 5.3 | +1.7 | |
| 4 | Spezia | 7 | 5.2 | +1.8 | |
| 5 |  Livorno | 7 | 4.4 | +2.6 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 |  Sambenedettese | 1 | 3.6 | -2.6 | |
| 19 |  Vis Pesaro | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1 | |
| 20 |  Pianese | 1 | 3.4 | -2.4 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+