Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
HT Over 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +8.9% at market prices across 110 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Vis Pesaro produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30' on average.
Add Serie C - Group B fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining Serie C - Group B schedule 10,000 times a day. Spezia win the 2026-2027 title in 88% of them, projecting ~86 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Vis Pesaro finish in the bottom three in 65% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 29 | 86 | 78–93 | 88% | >99% | — |
| 2 | Ravenna | 23 | 73 | 65–81 | 8% | 97% | — |
| 3 | Grosseto | 22 | 71 | 62–79 | 4% | 93% | — |
| 4 | Reggiana | 17 | 59 | 51–67 | <1% | 37% | <1% |
| 5 | Pescara | 18 | 58 | 49–66 | <1% | 30% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 18 | Ostiamare | 9 | 40 | 32–48 | — | <1% | 43% |
| 19 | Gubbio | 7 | 39 | 31–47 | — | <1% | 52% |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 4 | 37 | 28–45 | — | <1% | 65% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 271 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/italy/serie-c-group-b/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Serie C - Group B live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/italy/serie-c-group-b">Serie C - Group B stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Serie C - Group B match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 29 | 19.6 | +9.4 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | Ravenna | 23 | 19.3 | +3.7 | |
| 3 | Grosseto | 22 | 14.3 | +7.7 | |
| 4 | Pescara | 18 | 18.0 | -0.0 | |
| 5 | Torres | 18 | 15.5 | +2.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Pianese | 9 | 12.9 | -3.9 | |
| 19 | Gubbio | 7 | 11.3 | -4.3 | |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 4 | 9.1 | -5.1 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+

Ravenna
Gubbio
Vis Pesaro
Torres
Pianese





