Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 14 OctThe season in numbers
HT Over 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +8.5% at market prices across 88 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Sambenedettese produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.4' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pianese– Pineto | 2026-10-17 | 12:30 | Over 1.5 HT | 33.4% | 30.8% | ▲ +2.6% | 3.25 |
Add Serie C - Group B fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 14 OctWe simulate the remaining Serie C - Group B schedule 10,000 times a day. Spezia win the 2026-2027 title in 90% of them, projecting ~86 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Sambenedettese finish in the bottom three in 46% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 25 | 86 | 78–94 | 90% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 20 | 72 | 63–80 | 6% | 96% | — |
| 3 | Grosseto | 18 | 70 | 61–78 | 4% | 92% | — |
| 4 | Reggiana | 14 | 61 | 52–70 | <1% | 56% | <1% |
| 5 | Pescara | 12 | 54 | 45–62 | <1% | 14% | 2% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 18 |  Vis Pesaro | 4 | 40 | 32–49 | — | <1% | 43% |
| 19 | Latina | 7 | 40 | 32–48 | — | <1% | 44% |
| 20 |  Sambenedettese | 6 | 39 | 31–48 | — | <1% | 46% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 292 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/italy/serie-c-group-b/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Serie C - Group B live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/italy/serie-c-group-b">Serie C - Group B stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Serie C - Group B match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 25 | 16.3 | +8.7 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | Ravenna | 20 | 15.8 | +4.2 | |
| 3 | Grosseto | 18 | 11.9 | +6.1 | |
| 4 |  Torres | 15 | 13.2 | +1.8 | |
| 5 |  Livorno | 15 | 13.0 | +2.0 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 |  Gubbio | 7 | 8.9 | -1.9 | |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 6 | 11.0 | -5.0 | |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 4 | 7.7 | -3.7 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+