Serie C - Group B 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cesena | 38 | 96 | 77.3 | +18.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +10.4 | +8.3 | 0:1 vs Entella (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Olbia (-2.1) |
2 | Torres | 38 | 75 | 59.8 | +15.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.7 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Pescara (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sestri Levante (-2.3) |
3 | Carrarese | 38 | 73 | 63.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +14.8 | -5.0 | 3:2 vs Cesena (+1.8) | 4:1 vs Recanatese (-2.0) |
4 | Juventus U23 | 38 | 54 | 46.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 14 | +3.8 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Entella (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Fermana (-1.7) |
5 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 44 | 38.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 19 | +1.9 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Torres (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Pineto (-1.4) |
6 | Arezzo | 38 | 53 | 49.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 12 | +4.2 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Entella (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Pineto (-1.7) |
7 | Gubbio | 38 | 59 | 56.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 7 | +5.2 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Ancona (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Sestri Levante (-1.7) |
8 | Rimini | 38 | 50 | 48.5 | +1.5On expectation | 13 | +8.0 | -6.5 | 1:3 vs Ancona (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sestri Levante (-2.0) |
9 | Pineto | 38 | 45 | 43.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | +1.2 | +0.0 | 2:3 vs Pontedera (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ancona (-1.5) |
10 | Perugia | 38 | 63 | 62.4 | +0.6On expectation | 3 | +3.3 | -2.7 | 0:1 vs Pescara (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Sestri Levante (-1.8) |
11 | Pontedera | 38 | 52 | 51.5 | +0.5On expectation | 10 | -3.8 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Lucchese (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Pineto (-1.7) |
12 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 39 | 40.4 | -1.4On expectation | 17 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Lucchese (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Olbia (-1.4) |
13 | Fermana | 38 | 31 | 33.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 20 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 1:2 vs Torres (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Recanatese (-1.4) |
14 | Recanatese | 38 | 38 | 41.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 16 | +1.8 | -5.3 | 2:3 vs Pescara (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Fermana (-1.8) |
15 | Spal | 38 | 49 | 53.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 9 | -2.3 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Pescara (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Juventus U23 (-1.7) |
16 | Pescara | 38 | 55 | 61.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -5.8 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Spal (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Recanatese (-2.1) |
17 | Ancona | 38 | 42 | 50.4 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.2 | -6.2 | 0:2 vs Pescara (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Juventus U23 (-1.6) |
18 | Lucchese | 38 | 45 | 54.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.2 | -6.3 | 1:0 vs Entella (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Sestri Levante (-2.0) |
19 | Olbia | 38 | 26 | 39.3 | -13.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -4.8 | -8.5 | 2:1 vs Cesena (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Ancona (-1.5) |
20 | Entella | 38 | 45 | 61.1 | -16.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -8.5 | -7.6 | 5:0 vs Perugia (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Sestri Levante (-2.3) |
