Serie C - Group Bhub →Serie C - Group B 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ravenna | 36 | 73 | 56.5 | +16.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +13.6 | +3.0 | 1:0 vs Ascoli (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Bra (-1.9) |
2 | Ascoli | 37 | 80 | 67.4 | +12.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.8 | +6.8 | 1:2 vs Arezzo (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Campobasso (-2.4) |
3 | Campobasso | 37 | 62 | 49.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 8 | +4.7 | +7.8 | 1:0 vs Ascoli (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Livorno (-1.8) |
4 | Arezzo | 37 | 83 | 71.0 | +12.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.6 | +10.4 | 0:2 vs Ascoli (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Guidonia (-2.3) |
5 | Pianese | 37 | 53 | 43.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 17 | +2.5 | +6.9 | 0:2 vs Torres (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Carpi (-1.5) |
6 | Juventus U23 | 37 | 56 | 49.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.2 | +1.2 | 0:3 vs Torres (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Pontedera (-1.8) |
7 | Gubbio | 37 | 51 | 48.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 10 | -1.5 | +3.5 | 0:1 vs Ternana (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Guidonia (-1.7) |
8 | Pineto | 37 | 50 | 48.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 11 | -1.0 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Perugia (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Rimini (-1.9) |
9 | Bra | 37 | 35 | 34.8 | +0.2On expectation | 19 | +4.4 | -4.1 | 2:1 vs Ravenna (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ternana (-1.7) |
10 | Vis Pesaro | 37 | 47 | 47.9 | -0.9On expectation | 12 | +0.1 | -1.0 | 1:3 vs Juventus U23 (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Pineto (-1.6) |
11 | Carpi | 37 | 43 | 45.0 | -2.0On expectation | 16 | -3.4 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Torres (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Gubbio (-1.5) |
12 | Rimini | 15 | 11 | 13.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 20 | -4.1 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Pineto (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bra (-1.5) |
13 | Livorno | 36 | 43 | 46.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 15 | +1.3 | -4.5 | 2:1 vs Arezzo (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Guidonia (-1.9) |
14 | Ternana | 37 | 56 | 59.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 3 | -4.1 | +0.5 | 1:2 vs Arezzo (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Guidonia (-1.9) |
15 | Guidonia | 37 | 41 | 46.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 13 | -10.0 | +4.6 | 0:1 vs Arezzo (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Bra (-1.7) |
16 | Forli | 37 | 40 | 49.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 9 | -1.3 | -7.7 | 0:2 vs Torres (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Rimini (-1.7) |
17 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 37 | 46.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 14 | -11.7 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Perugia (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Pianese (-1.7) |
18 | Torres | 36 | 36 | 50.3 | -14.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -10.8 | -3.5 | 0:2 vs Ternana (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Pianese (-2.0) |
19 | Perugia | 37 | 38 | 54.3 | -16.3Underperforming −− | 5 | -12.1 | -4.2 | 1:2 vs Guidonia (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Pianese (-2.0) |
20 | Pontedera | 37 | 23 | 40.5 | -17.5Underperforming −− | 18 | -10.1 | -7.4 | 0:1 vs Juventus U23 (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Guidonia (-1.6) |