Serie C - Group B 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Entella | 38 | 79 | 67.1 | +11.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.3 | +9.6 | 0:1 vs Reggiana (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Rimini (-2.1) |
2 | Pontedera | 38 | 60 | 50.4 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 10 | +4.4 | +5.2 | 0:1 vs Torres (+1.8) | 2:4 vs San Donato (-1.7) |
3 | Cesena | 38 | 79 | 69.4 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.1 | +9.5 | 0:1 vs Reggiana (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Carrarese (-1.9) |
4 | Reggiana | 38 | 81 | 73.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.1 | +6.9 | 1:2 vs Cesena (+1.8) | 5:0 vs Fiorenzuola (-1.9) |
5 | Carrarese | 38 | 62 | 56.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +9.4 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Cesena (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Alessandria (-2.0) |
6 | Recanatese | 38 | 47 | 45.0 | +2.0On expectation | 13 | -5.7 | +7.7 | 1:3 vs Gubbio (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Olbia (-1.6) |
7 | Ancona | 38 | 58 | 57.0 | +1.0On expectation | 5 | +3.5 | -2.5 | 0:1 vs Cesena (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Imolese (-1.9) |
8 | Lucchese | 38 | 51 | 50.6 | +0.4On expectation | 9 | -0.4 | +0.8 | 1:0 vs Cesena (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Alessandria (-1.7) |
9 | Gubbio | 38 | 61 | 61.8 | -0.8On expectation | 4 | -6.2 | +5.4 | 0:2 vs Carrarese (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Recanatese (-2.0) |
10 | Fermana | 38 | 44 | 45.6 | -1.6On expectation | 12 | -1.1 | -0.6 | 1:3 vs Gubbio (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Imolese (-1.7) |
11 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 39 | 41.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 19 | -1.2 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Fermana (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Ancona (-1.5) |
12 | Olbia | 38 | 41 | 44.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 15 | -6.4 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Gubbio (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Imolese (-1.8) |
13 | Imolese | 38 | 36 | 39.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 20 | -3.6 | -0.2 | 2:1 vs Ancona (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Fiorenzuola (-1.6) |
14 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 41 | 45.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 14 | -5.2 | +1.1 | 5:0 vs Reggiana (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Imolese (-1.7) |
15 | Alessandria | 38 | 38 | 42.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 17 | -5.3 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Carrarese (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Pontedera (-1.5) |
16 | Rimini | 38 | 47 | 51.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 8 | -6.7 | +2.1 | 0:2 vs Entella (+2.4) | 1:2 vs San Donato (-1.9) |
17 | Siena | 38 | 50 | 55.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.2 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Entella (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Fermana (-1.7) |
18 | San Donato | 38 | 37 | 43.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.5 | +4.2 | 1:2 vs Rimini (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Olbia (-1.6) |
19 | Torres | 38 | 41 | 48.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 11 | -8.3 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Carrarese (+1.9) | 1:2 vs San Donato (-1.6) |
20 | Montevarchi | 38 | 28 | 42.1 | -14.1Underperforming −− | 18 | -9.4 | -4.7 | 1:2 vs Ancona (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Imolese (-1.6) |
