Serie C - Group Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Perugia | 38 | 79 | 67.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +9.3 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Modena (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Cesena (-2.0) |
2 | Modena | 38 | 70 | 58.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +10.1 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Padova (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Virtus Verona (-1.9) |
3 | Sudtirol | 38 | 75 | 64.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.0 | +5.1 | 0:1 vs FeralpiSalo (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Triestina (-1.8) |
4 | Padova | 38 | 79 | 68.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.7 | +5.2 | 0:1 vs Sambenedettese (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Imolese (-2.0) |
5 | Matelica | 38 | 56 | 46.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 14 | +12.1 | -2.6 | 0:1 vs Triestina (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Gubbio (-1.4) |
6 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 60 | 53.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.6 | +0.7 | 2:4 vs Cesena (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Fano (-1.7) |
7 | Cesena | 38 | 57 | 51.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 8 | -4.7 | +9.9 | 1:2 vs Perugia (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Virtus Verona (-1.9) |
8 | Triestina | 38 | 59 | 57.5 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | +6.2 | -4.8 | 1:2 vs Sudtirol (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Matelica (-2.0) |
9 | Sambenedettese | 38 | 54 | 53.0 | +1.0On expectation | 7 | -3.4 | +4.5 | 0:2 vs Fano (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Matelica (-1.9) |
10 | Gubbio | 38 | 48 | 47.2 | +0.8On expectation | 12 | -1.2 | +2.0 | 3:2 vs Perugia (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Carpi (-1.6) |
11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 49 | 48.2 | +0.8On expectation | 10 | -4.2 | +4.9 | 0:1 vs Modena (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Gubbio (-1.6) |
12 | Fermana | 38 | 42 | 43.7 | -1.7On expectation | 18 | +5.4 | -7.0 | 0:1 vs Imolese (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Mantova (-1.6) |
13 | Mantova | 38 | 49 | 51.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 9 | -5.7 | +3.0 | 5:1 vs Perugia (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Legnago Salus (-1.7) |
14 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 41 | 45.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 16 | +0.2 | -4.5 | 0:2 vs Cesena (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Ravenna (-1.4) |
15 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 38 | 44.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 17 | -2.4 | -4.2 | 0:2 vs Mantova (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cesena (-1.5) |
16 | Carpi | 38 | 41 | 47.9 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 11 | +1.9 | -8.8 | 0:4 vs Gubbio (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Imolese (-1.6) |
17 | Imolese | 38 | 35 | 43.0 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 19 | -5.6 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Padova (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Fermana (-1.6) |
18 | Ravenna | 38 | 30 | 42.2 | -12.2Underperforming −− | 20 | -1.6 | -10.7 | 1:0 vs Fano (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Matelica (-1.5) |
19 | Fano | 38 | 33 | 46.0 | -13.0Underperforming −− | 15 | -11.0 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Triestina (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sambenedettese (-1.6) |
20 | Arezzo | 38 | 29 | 46.7 | -17.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -10.5 | -7.2 | 0:1 vs Fano (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Virtus Verona (-1.4) |
