Serie C - Group Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Modena | 38 | 88 | 68.5 | +19.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.1 | +12.5 | 1:2 vs Pescara (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Olbia (-2.3) |
2 | Reggiana | 38 | 86 | 72.2 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.9 | +5.0 | 2:3 vs Pescara (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Lucchese (-1.9) |
3 | Cesena | 38 | 67 | 60.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.3 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Viterbese (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Pontedera (-1.6) |
4 | Ancona | 38 | 57 | 51.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.3 | +1.1 | 3:2 vs Siena (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Pistoiese (-2.1) |
5 | Entella | 38 | 65 | 60.8 | +4.3Outperforming | 4 | +11.8 | -7.5 | 1:2 vs Modena (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Montevarchi (-1.8) |
6 | Lucchese | 38 | 50 | 47.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 12 | +6.0 | -3.6 | 1:0 vs Reggiana (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Pontedera (-1.5) |
7 | Pescara | 38 | 65 | 62.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 3 | -0.5 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Carrarese (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Modena (-1.7) |
8 | Montevarchi | 38 | 45 | 43.4 | +1.6On expectation | 16 | +8.0 | -6.4 | 3:1 vs Entella (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Olbia (-1.4) |
9 | Gubbio | 38 | 52 | 50.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +7.3 | -6.2 | 2:1 vs Reggiana (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Viterbese (-1.5) |
10 | Olbia | 38 | 46 | 47.8 | -1.8On expectation | 11 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Modena (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Imolese (-1.6) |
11 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 45 | 46.9 | -1.9On expectation | 13 | +1.4 | -3.3 | 2:1 vs Entella (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Teramo (-1.6) |
12 | Teramo | 38 | 42 | 45.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 15 | -3.8 | +0.6 | 2:3 vs Viterbese (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Montevarchi (-1.6) |
13 | Pontedera | 38 | 43 | 46.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 14 | -0.2 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Siena (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Fermana (-1.7) |
14 | Carrarese | 38 | 45 | 50.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 9 | +6.3 | -11.6 | 2:4 vs Imolese (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Viterbese (-1.6) |
15 | Imolese | 38 | 37 | 43.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.2 | -3.8 | 0:3 vs Viterbese (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Fermana (-1.5) |
16 | Pistoiese | 38 | 36 | 43.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.5 | -5.8 | 0:3 vs Ancona (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Teramo (-1.5) |
17 | Fermana | 38 | 35 | 42.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 19 | +0.0 | -7.7 | 1:2 vs Ancona (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Montevarchi (-1.7) |
18 | Viterbese | 38 | 39 | 48.8 | -9.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -13.3 | +3.5 | 1:3 vs Carrarese (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Imolese (-1.8) |
19 | Siena | 38 | 44 | 54.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -2.8 | -7.5 | 1:2 vs Pontedera (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Grosseto (-1.9) |
20 | Grosseto | 38 | 30 | 42.6 | -12.6Underperforming −− | 20 | -6.0 | -6.6 | 1:3 vs Siena (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Montevarchi (-1.5) |
