Serie C - Group B 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Entella | 38 | 83 | 66.2 | +16.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +8.1 | +8.7 | 0:2 vs Spal (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Pescara (-1.7) |
2 | Pineto | 38 | 57 | 45.5 | +11.5Outperforming ++ | 16 | +10.7 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Pescara (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Legnago Salus (-1.7) |
3 | Pianese | 38 | 53 | 45.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 17 | +4.7 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs AC Milan U23 (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sestri Levante (-1.7) |
4 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 58 | 51.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.5 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Perugia (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Rimini (-2.0) |
5 | Ternana | 38 | 76 | 70.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.4 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Pontedera (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Carpi (-2.5) |
6 | Torres | 38 | 68 | 62.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | -1.7 | +6.8 | 0:1 vs Arezzo (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Ascoli (-1.8) |
7 | Arezzo | 38 | 64 | 59.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 5 | -0.8 | +5.5 | 0:2 vs Torres (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Carpi (-2.0) |
8 | Rimini | 38 | 53 | 50.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 11 | -7.2 | +9.7 | 1:2 vs Vis Pesaro (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Gubbio (-1.6) |
9 | Carpi | 38 | 44 | 41.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 18 | -1.1 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Ternana (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Gubbio (-1.5) |
10 | Pontedera | 38 | 48 | 45.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 15 | -1.8 | +4.0 | 2:4 vs Arezzo (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Carpi (-1.6) |
11 | Pescara | 38 | 67 | 65.3 | +1.6On expectation | 3 | -5.0 | +6.6 | 0:1 vs Entella (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Legnago Salus (-2.4) |
12 | Lucchese | 38 | 45 | 46.3 | -1.3On expectation | 14 | +2.5 | -3.8 | 4:1 vs Ternana (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Spal (-1.4) |
13 | Gubbio | 38 | 48 | 50.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 10 | +0.1 | -2.7 | 0:1 vs Rimini (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Legnago Salus (-2.0) |
14 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 31 | 35.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 19 | -4.5 | -0.3 | 3:1 vs Pescara (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Pianese (-1.3) |
15 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 29 | 34.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 20 | -9.4 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Pescara (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Pontedera (-1.4) |
16 | Campobasso | 38 | 43 | 50.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -0.1 | -7.0 | 1:0 vs Ternana (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Pontedera (-1.8) |
17 | Perugia | 38 | 47 | 54.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 7 | +4.8 | -12.3 | 0:1 vs Ascoli (+1.9) | 0:2 vs AC Milan U23 (-1.9) |
18 | Spal | 38 | 38 | 51.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -10.9 | -2.5 | 0:1 vs Pianese (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Lucchese (-1.7) |
19 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 34 | 47.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -8.3 | -5.2 | 0:2 vs Perugia (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Legnago Salus (-2.2) |
20 | Ascoli | 38 | 40 | 57.0 | -17.0Underperforming −− | 6 | -11.4 | -5.7 | 1:2 vs Pescara (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Lucchese (-1.9) |
